TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Jacek Przewlocki
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171171210––––
Marcin Kowalczyk
Away
1.98
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Kowalczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1171171210––––
H2H Jacek Przewlocki 5–4 Marcin Kowalczyk Marcin Kowalczyk has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Przewlocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1271 vs Kowalczyk 1307
Kowalczyk
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 20% vs Kowalczyk 80%
Kowalczyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 50% vs Kowalczyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -2 · Kowalczyk +4
Kowalczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przewlocki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.73 / Kowalczyk 1.98
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Przewlocki)+0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13168372
Przewlocki1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 121 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it73% 87 of 120
Kowalczyk1.98
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
As underdog44% won 144 of 327
Down 0–1, comes back23% 36 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePrzewlocki5wins
AwayKowalczyk4wins
1 of 9 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 5–4, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki100%4 of 4
AwayKowalczyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki4Kowalczyk5n = 9Kowalczyk took 5 of 9
S2Przewlocki5Kowalczyk4n = 9Przewlocki took 5 of 9
S3Przewlocki6Kowalczyk3n = 9Przewlocki took 6 of 9
S4Przewlocki2Kowalczyk4n = 6Kowalczyk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiKowalczykP − KBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match36.335.2+1.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiKowalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime519 / 1072 vs 740 / 149948.4%49.4%519 / 1072 vs 740 / 1499Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiPrzewlocki 1.73/Kowalczyk 1.98
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 20 · 21:55J. Przewlocki331011391M. Kowalczyk3612211113
WAug 20 · 16:15J. Przewlocki4211119113M. Kowalczyk33681181
LJul 28 · 21:55J. Przewlocki30491161M. Kowalczyk4211119113
WJul 28 · 16:20J. Przewlocki4311713123M. Kowalczyk4191111101
LJul 23 · 16:15J. Przewlocki248790M. Kowalczyk331111113
WJul 14 · 17:45J. Przewlocki49811115143M. Kowalczyk51119811122
WNov 4 · 03:00J. Przewlocki331111113M. Kowalczyk226970
LNov 4 · 24:30J. Przewlocki377911101M. Kowalczyk3811114123
WNov 3 · 18:55J. Przewlocki361111143M. Kowalczyk2154120
J. Przewlocki10
LSep 21 · 15:50J. Przewlocki1.756890P. Strus1.951111113LSep 18 · 13:55B. Mleczko1.441111133J. Przewlocki2.6033110WSep 18 · 13:05W. Gronowski1.751116381J. Przewlocki1.98131411113LSep 18 · 12:15J. Przewlocki3.1010111461M. Minda1.3012916113LSep 18 · 10:35J. Przewlocki3.558117101J. Zochniak1.2511911123WSep 18 · 09:50B. Czerwinski1.2871060J. Przewlocki3.401112113LSep 18 · 08:35J. Przewlocki2.708950B. Mleczko1.401111113WSep 18 · 06:55J. Przewlocki1.9512611113W. Gronowski1.671011291WSep 18 · 05:40J. Przewlocki2.50118211113R. Stapor1.4681111842WSep 18 · 04:10J. Przewlocki1.711111113B. Wisniewski2.008790
M. Kowalczyk10
WSep 21 · 15:25M. Durda2.051111971M. Kowalczyk1.6541311113WSep 17 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.76111196113B. Mrugala1.8877111152WSep 17 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.641111113K. Golaszewski2.044970WSep 17 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk2.13111128113M. Trela1.5968111192LSep 17 · 16:15J. Lamperski1.65511711113M. Kowalczyk2.0511711982WSep 17 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk1.901112143J. Rolak1.80610120LSep 16 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.7511113742P. Strus1.85591111113LSep 16 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.80111165102B. Mrugala1.80881111123WSep 16 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.8831111113W. Gluszek1.82118341LSep 16 · 16:15M. Trela1.723M. Kowalczyk2.000
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