Michal Durda vs Marcin Kowalczyk 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Sep 21Finished

Michal Durda

Home

2.05

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1141113911711––

Marcin Kowalczyk

Away

1.65

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:33 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%

Graded at full time

Marcin Kowalczyk to win

66.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

77 points played in total.

Set by set

1141113911711––

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:33

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.65 (55%)

Kowalczyk

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Durda 1390 vs Kowalczyk 1292

Durda

Wrong

both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Durda 20% vs Kowalczyk 80%

Kowalczyk

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Durda 40% vs Kowalczyk 60%

Kowalczyk

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Durda -3 · Kowalczyk +3

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kowalczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kowalczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDurda 2.05 / Kowalczyk 1.65

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Kowalczyk)-1.4pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13164035

Durda2.05

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Kowalczyk1.65

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 17)

Won last 3

oldest → newest

78%takes the first set · 7 of 9

As favourite56% won 91 of 162

Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51

Up 1–0, closes it74% 81 of 110

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricDurdaKowalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 270 vs 744 / 151774.8%49%202 / 270 vs 744 / 1517Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Kowalczyk

Durda 2.05/Kowalczyk 1.65

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Kowalczyk · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Kowalczyk won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Durda10