Michal Durda vs Kacper Marchlewski 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Sep 21Finished

Michal Durda

Home

1.07

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

4111196111191210

Kacper Marchlewski

Away

7.75

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:44 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%

Graded at full time

Kacper Marchlewski to win

54.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

94 points played in total.

Set by set

4111196111191210

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:44

What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.07 (88%)

Durda

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Durda 1364 vs Marchlewski 1226

Durda

Correct

both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Durda 20% vs Marchlewski 40%

Marchlewski

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Durda 40% vs Marchlewski 30%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Durda +1 · Marchlewski +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Durda) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Marchlewski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDurda 1.07 / Marchlewski 7.75

Signal prob.91% / 9%

Edge (Durda)+2.8pp

TT Elite Series · #13164805

Durda1.07

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite74% won 191 of 257

Up 2–0, closes it96% 96 of 100

Up 1–0, closes it89% 136 of 153

Marchlewski7.75

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog34% won 42 of 124

Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 67

Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricDurdaMarchlewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 273 vs 144 / 33474.4%43.1%203 / 273 vs 144 / 334Avg sets wonper match2.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.736.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Durda

Durda 1.07/Marchlewski 7.75

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

90.7%

Durda · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Durda won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Durda10