TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marcin Kowalczyk vs Jacek Przewlocki 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Marcin Kowalczyk
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116116––––
Jacek Przewlocki
Away
1.66
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Kowalczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
118116116––––
H2H Marcin Kowalczyk 4–6 Jacek Przewlocki Marcin Kowalczyk has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Przewlocki beat Kowalczyk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:25What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Przewlocki
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalczyk 1232 vs Przewlocki 1267
Przewlocki
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalczyk 0% vs Przewlocki 40%
Przewlocki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalczyk 40% vs Przewlocki 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalczyk -5 · Przewlocki -2
Kowalczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Przewlocki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalczyk 2.05 / Przewlocki 1.66
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Przewlocki)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13172792
Kowalczyk2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 144 of 327
Down 0–1, comes back23% 36 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 72
Przewlocki1.66
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 121 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it73% 87 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKowalczyk4wins
AwayPrzewlocki6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalczyk80%4 of 5
AwayPrzewlocki100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalczyk5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S2Kowalczyk4Przewlocki6n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S3Kowalczyk3Przewlocki7n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S4Kowalczyk4Przewlocki2n = 6Kowalczyk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKowalczykPrzewlockiK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.136.1−2.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalczykPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime740 / 1504 vs 521 / 107749.2%48.4%740 / 1504 vs 521 / 1077Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiKowalczyk 2.05/Przewlocki 1.66
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.7%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kowalczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 16:55M. Kowalczyk2477100J. Przewlocki341111123
WAug 20 · 21:55M. Kowalczyk3612211113J. Przewlocki331011391
LAug 20 · 16:15M. Kowalczyk33681181J. Przewlocki4211119113
WJul 28 · 21:55M. Kowalczyk4211119113J. Przewlocki30491161
LJul 28 · 16:20M. Kowalczyk4191111101J. Przewlocki4311713123
WJul 23 · 16:15M. Kowalczyk331111113J. Przewlocki248790
LJul 14 · 17:45M. Kowalczyk51119811122J. Przewlocki49811115143
LNov 4 · 03:00M. Kowalczyk226970J. Przewlocki331111113
WNov 4 · 24:30M. Kowalczyk3811114123J. Przewlocki377911101
LNov 3 · 18:55M. Kowalczyk2154120J. Przewlocki361111143
M. Kowalczyk10
LSep 21 · 21:05K. Marchlewski2.101111113M. Kowalczyk1.656880LSep 21 · 20:30A. Myszewski1.701111123M. Kowalczyk2.0067100LSep 21 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.619870K. Marchlewski2.151111113LSep 21 · 18:10P. Strus2.051111113M. Kowalczyk1.666920LSep 21 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.731111123M. Kowalczyk1.9877100WSep 21 · 15:25M. Durda2.051111971M. Kowalczyk1.6541311113WSep 17 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.76111196113B. Mrugala1.8877111152WSep 17 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.641111113K. Golaszewski2.044970WSep 17 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk2.13111128113M. Trela1.5968111192LSep 17 · 16:15J. Lamperski1.65511711113M. Kowalczyk2.0511711982
J. Przewlocki10
LSep 21 · 21:30A. Myszewski1.7491111113J. Przewlocki1.95116541LSep 21 · 20:05J. Przewlocki1.5010470K. Marchlewski2.401211113WSep 21 · 18:30M. Durda1.157550J. Przewlocki5.001111113LSep 21 · 17:45A. Myszewski1.7411211113J. Przewlocki1.95811471WSep 21 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.731111123M. Kowalczyk1.9877100LSep 21 · 15:50J. Przewlocki1.756890P. Strus1.951111113LSep 18 · 13:55B. Mleczko1.441111133J. Przewlocki2.6033110WSep 18 · 13:05W. Gronowski1.751116381J. Przewlocki1.98131411113LSep 18 · 12:15J. Przewlocki3.1010111461M. Minda1.3012916113LSep 18 · 10:35J. Przewlocki3.558117101J. Zochniak1.2511911123
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