TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Durda vs Piotr Strus 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Michal Durda
Home
1.09
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9118111191311911
Piotr Strus
Away
6.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:12 and never touched — 88.9% is still 88.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Durda to win
88.9%
88.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
9118111191311911
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:12What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.09 (86%)
Durda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Durda 1372 vs Strus 1255
Durda
Wrong
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Durda 40% vs Strus 80%
Strus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Durda 40% vs Strus 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Durda -1 · Strus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Durda) · live re-read · sealed at 89% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (15%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDurda 1.09 / Strus 6.75
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Durda)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13164627
Durda1.09
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite74% won 191 of 257
Up 2–0, closes it96% 96 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it89% 136 of 153
Strus6.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 92 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back16% 10 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDurdaStrusBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 274 vs 391 / 85374.5%45.8%204 / 274 vs 391 / 853Avg sets wonper match2.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
DurdaDurda 1.09/Strus 6.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
86.9%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Strus won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Durda10
LSep 21 · 18:30M. Durda1.157550J. Przewlocki5.001111113WSep 21 · 17:20M. Durda1.07411611123K. Marchlewski7.75119119102WSep 21 · 16:15A. Myszewski1.7511761172M. Durda1.95911117113LSep 21 · 15:25M. Durda2.051111971M. Kowalczyk1.6541311113LSep 19 · 14:40M. Durda1.0411118552M. Zwolinski6.00961111113LSep 19 · 13:05M. Durda1.03116101152W. Suchecki6.20611126113LSep 19 · 11:50M. Durda1.047511101D. Poloszczanski6.0011119123WSep 19 · 10:10M. Durda1.06116711123J. Rolak5.96811119102LSep 19 · 09:00M. Durda1.144970A. Szoltysek5.001111113WSep 19 · 07:40B. Wisniewski5.501111101012M. Durda1.10871212113
P. Strus10
WSep 21 · 18:55A. Myszewski1.47117371P. Strus2.4001111113WSep 21 · 18:10P. Strus2.051111113M. Kowalczyk1.666920LSep 21 · 16:35P. Strus1.8013513732K. Marchlewski1.9111111111113WSep 21 · 15:50J. Przewlocki1.756890P. Strus1.951111113WSep 18 · 19:40A. Pilch—1061171P. Strus—12118113LSep 18 · 18:55M. Skorski1.66131111113P. Strus2.05155691LSep 18 · 18:10P. Strus1.85112881K. Golaszewski1.6961111113LSep 18 · 16:35P. Strus2.45911681K. Klocek1.4711611113LSep 18 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.461411113P. Strus2.5012730WSep 16 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.7511113742P. Strus1.85591111113
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