TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13146803
Played Sep 18Finished
Dariusz Szlubowski
Home
1.46
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412117113––––
Piotr Strus
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:58 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeDariusz Szlubowski to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1412117113––––
H2H Dariusz Szlubowski 19–4 Piotr Strus Piotr Strus has won 4 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:58What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Szlubowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-4 in 23
Szlubowski
Correct
gap of 15 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szlubowski 1284 vs Strus 1245
Szlubowski
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szlubowski 60% vs Strus 80%
Strus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szlubowski 50% vs Strus 70%
Strus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szlubowski -1 · Strus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Szlubowski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzlubowski 1.46 / Strus 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Szlubowski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13146803
Szlubowski1.46
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 84 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it79% 52 of 66
Strus2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As underdog44% won 95 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back27% 29 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back16% 10 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzlubowski6wins
AwayStrus4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSzlubowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzlubowski60%3 of 5
AwayStrus40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szlubowski5Strus5n = 10split evenly
S2Szlubowski4Strus6n = 10Strus took 6 of 10
S3Szlubowski5Strus5n = 10split evenly
S4Szlubowski6Strus2n = 8Szlubowski took 6 of 8
S5Szlubowski3Strus2n = 5Szlubowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzlubowskiStrusSzlubowski − StrusBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.537.7+4.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzlubowskiStrusBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 346 vs 388 / 84759.5%45.8%206 / 346 vs 388 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzlubowskiSzlubowski 1.46/Strus 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.7%
Szlubowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szlubowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 15:50D. Szlubowski48611119113P. Strus3711451162
LSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski30841171P. Strus3911116113
WAug 5 · 15:50D. Szlubowski4111118113P. Strus29981111
LJul 1 · 15:50D. Szlubowski33914100P. Strus391116123
WJun 19 · 15:50D. Szlubowski53118911143P. Strus52911119122
LJun 12 · 20:40D. Szlubowski48118312142P. Strus513111110163
WMay 26 · 17:30D. Szlubowski4071111113P. Strus19110531
WFeb 17 · 21:40D. Szlubowski481141111113P. Strus3713114632
WNov 14 · 20:30D. Szlubowski341111123P. Strus2257100
LNov 13 · 21:40D. Szlubowski501110101362P. Strus526121211113
D. Szlubowski10
LSep 18 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.83114791K. Klocek1.8691111113LSep 18 · 18:30A. Pilch—117711123D. Szlubowski—411117102LSep 18 · 17:45M. Skorski1.851411113D. Szlubowski1.8012870WSep 18 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.3711611113K. Golaszewski2.50611451LSep 15 · 19:40D. Kotwica2.1611114113D. Szlubowski1.57881191WSep 15 · 18:55P. Ostachowski6.20135961D. Szlubowski1.06111111113WSep 15 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.50111110113J. Rolak2.40691251WSep 15 · 16:35D. Szlubowski1.461411113K. Golaszewski2.4012690LSep 15 · 15:50J. Nosiadek2.35115117133D. Szlubowski1.48511711112LSep 11 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.607121491M. Lukaszewski2.20111016113
P. Strus10
WSep 18 · 19:40A. Pilch—1061171P. Strus—12118113LSep 18 · 18:55M. Skorski1.66131111113P. Strus2.05155691LSep 18 · 18:10P. Strus1.85112881K. Golaszewski1.6961111113LSep 18 · 16:35P. Strus2.45911681K. Klocek1.4711611113WSep 16 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.7511113742P. Strus1.85591111113WSep 16 · 18:55M. Trela1.5491111742P. Strus2.17116111113LSep 16 · 18:10P. Strus2.2571211462M. Skorski1.541110311113WSep 16 · 16:35P. Strus2.25511116113W. Gluszek1.5411541192WSep 16 · 15:50B. Mrugala1.766850P. Strus1.901111113WSep 14 · 19:40A. Myszewski1.70813791P. Strus2.00111111113
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