Jakub Nosiadek vs Dariusz Szlubowski 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129529

Played Sep 15Finished

Jakub Nosiadek

Home

2.35

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 4

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1155111177111311

Dariusz Szlubowski

Away

1.48

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:41 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%

Graded at full time

Dariusz Szlubowski to win

60.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

92 points played in total.

Set by set

1155111177111311

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 13:41

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.48 (61%)

Szlubowski

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Nosiadek 1185 vs Szlubowski 1294

Szlubowski

Wrong

both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Nosiadek 20% vs Szlubowski 40%

Szlubowski

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Nosiadek 20% vs Szlubowski 50%

Szlubowski

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Nosiadek -4 · Szlubowski -3

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Szlubowski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Szlubowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsNosiadek 2.35 / Szlubowski 1.48

Signal prob.39% / 61%

Edge (Szlubowski)+0.0pp

TT Elite Series · #13129529

Nosiadek2.35

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog30% won 13 of 44

Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 33

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18

Szlubowski1.48

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite62% won 83 of 134

Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38

Up 1–0, closes it78% 50 of 64

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricNosiadekSzlubowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 90 vs 210 / 35033.3%60%30 / 90 vs 210 / 350Avg sets wonper match1.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.139.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Szlubowski

Nosiadek 2.35/Szlubowski 1.48

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

61.4%

Szlubowski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Nosiadek won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Nosiadek10