TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13161412
Played Sep 19Finished
Tomas Hucko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911511––––
Adam Pavlik
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingTomas Hucko above · Adam Pavlik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 54 set 3, 5-11
54 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hucko 1–0 Adam Pavlik Adam Pavlik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Hucko beat Pavlik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hucko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pavlik form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHucko 1.44 / Pavlik 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Hucko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13161412
Hucko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 28 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Pavlik2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 34 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back26% 9 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHucko1wins
AwayPavlik0wins
Hucko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHuckoPavlikH − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.024.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuckoPavlikBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 328 vs 163 / 31952.7%51.1%173 / 328 vs 163 / 319Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuckoHucko 1.44/Pavlik 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Hucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pavlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 19 · 19:30T. Hucko331111113A. Pavlik246990
T. Hucko10
WSep 19 · 19:30A. Pavlik2.206990T. Hucko1.611111113WSep 19 · 19:00T. Hucko2.00111011113M. Svitac1.73512951WSep 19 · 18:00T. Hucko1.731012911163L. Kolman2.001210118142LSep 18 · 12:19J. Simek2.1011118113T. Hucko1.67651171WSep 18 · 11:15T. Hucko1.67961111113J. Simek2.1011117362LSep 18 · 10:15T. Hucko2.20119771P. Oplt1.6171111113LSep 18 · 09:15T. Hucko1.91981171M. Svitac1.8011118113WSep 9 · 16:38L. Kolman1.85311561T. Hucko1.8511811113LSep 9 · 15:30P. Provaznik2.2513411113T. Hucko1.571111771WSep 9 · 15:00T. Hucko1.73158116143L. Kolman2.001311711122
A. Pavlik10
LSep 19 · 19:30A. Pavlik2.206990T. Hucko1.611111113LSep 19 · 18:30A. Pavlik2.1091112472L. Kolman1.671191011113WSep 19 · 17:30A. Pavlik2.3871111113M. Svitac1.53116891LSep 11 · 16:34V. Lopata1.80115119113A. Pavlik1.9171191192LSep 11 · 15:30A. Pavlik2.00104100O. Horak1.731211123LSep 11 · 14:30A. Pavlik1.83137110P. Hala1.831511133WSep 11 · 13:30A. Pavlik2.201211113V. Lopata1.6110750WSep 7 · 20:29S. Kalensky2.2091211101A. Pavlik1.6111149123WSep 7 · 19:30P. Orlowski1.8085110A. Pavlik1.911111133LSep 7 · 19:00A. Pavlik1.80118691D. Brichacek1.9171111113
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