TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155213
Played Sep 19Finished
Adam Pavlik
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911911––––
Tomas Hucko
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Hucko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Pavlik above · Tomas Hucko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Hucko at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:21What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hucko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pavlik 1576 vs Hucko 1628
Hucko
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pavlik 20% vs Hucko 60%
Hucko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pavlik 40% vs Hucko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pavlik -1 · Hucko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hucko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pavlik form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPavlik 2.20 / Hucko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Hucko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13155213
Pavlik2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 34 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back26% 9 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Hucko1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 28 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPavlikHuckoBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 318 vs 173 / 32851.3%52.7%163 / 318 vs 173 / 328Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuckoPavlik 2.20/Hucko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Hucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hucko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Pavlik10
WSep 19 · 20:33T. Hucko1.447950A. Pavlik2.631111113LSep 19 · 18:30A. Pavlik2.1091112472L. Kolman1.671191011113WSep 19 · 17:30A. Pavlik2.3871111113M. Svitac1.53116891LSep 11 · 16:34V. Lopata1.80115119113A. Pavlik1.9171191192LSep 11 · 15:30A. Pavlik2.00104100O. Horak1.731211123LSep 11 · 14:30A. Pavlik1.83137110P. Hala1.831511133WSep 11 · 13:30A. Pavlik2.201211113V. Lopata1.6110750WSep 7 · 20:29S. Kalensky2.2091211101A. Pavlik1.6111149123WSep 7 · 19:30P. Orlowski1.8085110A. Pavlik1.911111133LSep 7 · 19:00A. Pavlik1.80118691D. Brichacek1.9171111113
T. Hucko10
LSep 19 · 20:33T. Hucko1.447950A. Pavlik2.631111113WSep 19 · 19:00T. Hucko2.00111011113M. Svitac1.73512951WSep 19 · 18:00T. Hucko1.731012911163L. Kolman2.001210118142LSep 18 · 12:19J. Simek2.1011118113T. Hucko1.67651171WSep 18 · 11:15T. Hucko1.67961111113J. Simek2.1011117362LSep 18 · 10:15T. Hucko2.20119771P. Oplt1.6171111113LSep 18 · 09:15T. Hucko1.91981171M. Svitac1.8011118113WSep 9 · 16:38L. Kolman1.85311561T. Hucko1.8511811113LSep 9 · 15:30P. Provaznik2.2513411113T. Hucko1.571111771WSep 9 · 15:00T. Hucko1.73158116143L. Kolman2.001311711122
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