TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Sergii Sideltsev
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711119811511––
Oleh Torianyk
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSergii Sideltsev above · Oleh Torianyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 73 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 66.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Sideltsev 3–11 Oleh Torianyk Sergii Sideltsev has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Torianyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-11 in 14
Torianyk
Correct
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sideltsev 1496 vs Torianyk 1620
Torianyk
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sideltsev 40% vs Torianyk 60%
Torianyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sideltsev 50% vs Torianyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sideltsev -1 · Torianyk +3
Torianyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Torianyk) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSideltsev 3.00 / Torianyk 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Torianyk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161100
Sideltsev3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 30 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Torianyk1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 100 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it82% 75 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSideltsev3wins
AwayTorianyk7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTorianyk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSideltsev66.7%2 of 3
AwayTorianyk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sideltsev3Torianyk7n = 10Torianyk took 7 of 10
S2Sideltsev3Torianyk7n = 10Torianyk took 7 of 10
S3Sideltsev4Torianyk6n = 10Torianyk took 6 of 10
S4Sideltsev3Torianyk3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSideltsevTorianykS − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.737.1−4.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSideltsevTorianykBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 421 vs 285 / 51058.7%55.9%247 / 421 vs 285 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykSideltsev 3.00/Torianyk 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Torianyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 09:58S. Sideltsev258980O. Torianyk331111113
LSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2310940O. Torianyk341211113
WAug 28 · 10:38S. Sideltsev501161111113O. Torianyk3791113132
WAug 28 · 08:30S. Sideltsev47121311113O. Torianyk361411831
LAug 1 · 06:00S. Sideltsev39115101122O. Torianyk48811126113
LJul 11 · 08:30S. Sideltsev341161161O. Torianyk4413119113
LJul 9 · 09:30S. Sideltsev30511771O. Torianyk4211911113
LJul 9 · 06:00S. Sideltsev27531181O. Torianyk4111118113
WJun 10 · 09:00S. Sideltsev341112113O. Torianyk2391040
LApr 17 · 09:00S. Sideltsev188370O. Torianyk331111113
S. Sideltsev10
WSep 20 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.201111123D. Tsys1.6178100LSep 20 · 07:00S. Sideltsev1.44681111132N. Priadko2.63111174153WSep 20 · 06:00S. Sideltsev1.57121108113P. Kolesnik2.25109111192LSep 11 · 10:42S. Sideltsev2.55121112912M. Pohorilyi1.451011411113WSep 11 · 09:00S. Sideltsev1.251111113S. Honcharenko3.757390LSep 11 · 08:00M. Pohorilyi1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.505670WSep 11 · 07:00N. Priadko2.5041113692S. Sideltsev1.501181111113WSep 11 · 05:30V. Simchuk2.63851171S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 7 · 17:08S. Sideltsev2.6310960I. Dubinin1.441211113WSep 7 · 16:00I. Sorochan3.0010630S. Sideltsev1.361211113
O. Torianyk10
WSep 20 · 07:30O. Torianyk1.441111113P. Kolesnik2.638880WSep 20 · 06:30D. Tsys2.00991281O. Torianyk1.73111110113WSep 20 · 05:30O. Torianyk1.251112113N. Priadko3.7531090LSep 19 · 16:00I. Dubinin3.5011119113O. Torianyk1.28971141LSep 19 · 14:30M. Levytskii1.44111112113O. Torianyk2.63631461WSep 19 · 13:00P. Kolesnik2.6391111962O. Torianyk1.44118711113LSep 19 · 12:00D. Tsys2.00991111113O. Torianyk1.7311119762LSep 13 · 10:10O. Torianyk2.3811371282S. Bului1.537111110113LSep 13 · 09:00O. Torianyk1.40117881P. Kolesnik2.7571111113LSep 13 · 08:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.5011911113O. Torianyk2.50811481
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