TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Sergii Sideltsev
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171181210––––
Dmytro Tsys
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:05 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Tsys to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSergii Sideltsev above · Dmytro Tsys below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 59 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Dmytro Tsys at 61.7%
59 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Sideltsev 1–4 Dmytro Tsys Sergii Sideltsev has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Tsys
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Tsys
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sideltsev 1488 vs Tsys 1574
Tsys
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sideltsev 40% vs Tsys 20%
Sideltsev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sideltsev 50% vs Tsys 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sideltsev -2 · Tsys +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Tsys) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tsys form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSideltsev 2.20 / Tsys 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Tsys)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161588
Sideltsev2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 30 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Tsys1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 38 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 26 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSideltsev1wins
AwayTsys4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderTsys leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSideltsev33.3%1 of 3
AwayTsysn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sideltsev3Tsys2n = 5Sideltsev took 3 of 5
S2Sideltsev1Tsys4n = 5Tsys took 4 of 5
S3Sideltsev1Tsys4n = 5Tsys took 4 of 5
S4Sideltsev2Tsys2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricSideltsevTsysS − TBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match33.039.8−6.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSideltsevTsysBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 422 vs 122 / 24258.5%50.4%247 / 422 vs 122 / 242Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TsysSideltsev 2.20/Tsys 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Tsys · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sideltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 5 · 08:00S. Sideltsev3911512113D. Tsys324111071
LAug 1 · 09:30S. Sideltsev4511861192D. Tsys47711117113
LJul 11 · 10:43S. Sideltsev271141111D. Tsys4271111133
LJul 11 · 06:00S. Sideltsev195860D. Tsys331111113
LJan 7 · 08:00S. Sideltsev355111361D. Tsys4511815113
S. Sideltsev10
LSep 20 · 08:30S. Sideltsev3.00711851O. Torianyk1.3611911113LSep 20 · 07:00S. Sideltsev1.44681111132N. Priadko2.63111174153WSep 20 · 06:00S. Sideltsev1.57121108113P. Kolesnik2.25109111192LSep 11 · 10:42S. Sideltsev2.55121112912M. Pohorilyi1.451011411113WSep 11 · 09:00S. Sideltsev1.251111113S. Honcharenko3.757390LSep 11 · 08:00M. Pohorilyi1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.505670WSep 11 · 07:00N. Priadko2.5041113692S. Sideltsev1.501181111113WSep 11 · 05:30V. Simchuk2.63851171S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 7 · 17:08S. Sideltsev2.6310960I. Dubinin1.441211113WSep 7 · 16:00I. Sorochan3.0010630S. Sideltsev1.361211113
D. Tsys10
LSep 20 · 10:00P. Kolesnik1.7313411113D. Tsys2.001111511WSep 20 · 08:00D. Tsys1.281111113N. Priadko3.507750LSep 20 · 06:30D. Tsys2.00991281O. Torianyk1.73111110113LSep 20 · 05:00D. Tsys1.831155101P. Kolesnik1.8391111123LSep 19 · 17:04I. Dubinin2.7511911113D. Tsys1.40611661LSep 19 · 16:30P. Kolesnik2.0081111113D. Tsys1.73113581LSep 19 · 15:00D. Tsys1.2881111762I. Dubinin3.5011751193LSep 19 · 13:30D. Tsys1.91841151M. Levytskii1.801111773WSep 19 · 12:00D. Tsys2.00991111113O. Torianyk1.7311119762WSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123
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