TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Miloslav Lubas
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115119711113––
Jiri Svec
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:16 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMiloslav Lubas to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiloslav Lubas above · Jiri Svec below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 68 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Miloslav Lubas at 59.3%
68 points played in total.
H2H Miloslav Lubas 30–17 Jiri Svec Jiri Svec has won 17 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lubas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-17 in 47
Lubas
Correct
gap of 13 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lubas 1246 vs Svec 1240
Lubas
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lubas 60% vs Svec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lubas 70% vs Svec 40%
Lubas
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lubas +1 · Svec +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lubas) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLubas 1.73 / Svec 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lubas)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160525
Lubas1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 25 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Svec2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 58 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLubas7wins
AwaySvec3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLubas leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLubas100%5 of 5
AwaySvec60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lubas5Svec5n = 10split evenly
S2Lubas9Svec1n = 10Lubas took 9 of 10
S3Lubas6Svec4n = 10Lubas took 6 of 10
S4Lubas2Svec3n = 5Svec took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLubasSvecL − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.630.9+3.7per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLubasSvecBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 332 vs 390 / 83948.5%46.5%161 / 332 vs 390 / 839Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LubasLubas 1.73/Svec 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Lubas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lubas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 20:30M. Lubas4011117113J. Svec28591131
WSep 15 · 16:30M. Lubas48911116113J. Svec4311781162
WAug 25 · 10:30M. Lubas331111113J. Svec228770
LAug 8 · 17:02M. Lubas179440J. Svec331111113
LAug 8 · 16:30M. Lubas35912681J. Svec43111011113
WMay 26 · 10:00M. Lubas351111133J. Svec1733110
LApr 11 · 18:30M. Lubas345117111J. Svec4111611133
WApr 9 · 12:59M. Lubas331111113J. Svec206680
WApr 9 · 12:30M. Lubas351212113J. Svec25101050
WApr 2 · 13:00M. Lubas3621111123J. Svec371179101
M. Lubas10
WSep 20 · 21:28J. Grohsgott1.83411851M. Lubas1.8311911113WSep 20 · 19:00M. Lubas2.00914811113M. Syroha1.73111211882LSep 20 · 18:00J. Grohsgott2.0011124113M. Lubas1.739101181LSep 15 · 17:30V. Stach1.87111014113M. Lubas1.834121251WSep 15 · 16:30J. Svec2.0011781162M. Lubas1.73911116113WSep 15 · 15:30M. Lubas1.44149117113V. Stach2.63121191182LSep 15 · 14:30L. Havrda2.0011112113M. Lubas1.73981141WSep 7 · 13:30M. Lubas1.671111113D. Mutl2.107830WSep 7 · 12:30M. Lubas1.731111113M. Regner2.004440WSep 7 · 11:00M. Lubas1.73911811123D. Mutl2.00116117102
J. Svec10
LSep 20 · 20:59M. Syroha1.801113133J. Svec1.91511110WSep 20 · 19:30J. Svec1.9171111113J. Grohsgott1.80117681LSep 20 · 18:30M. Syroha1.8381411113J. Svec1.831112791WSep 17 · 21:00J. Svec2.3813119113J. Grohsgott1.531181131LSep 17 · 20:30J. Grohsgott1.611091111113J. Svec2.2012117582LSep 17 · 19:30J. Svec2.755540J. Strnad1.401111113WSep 17 · 18:30M. Barta1.538760J. Svec2.381111113LSep 15 · 17:10L. Havrda1.92812611113J. Svec1.78111011962LSep 15 · 16:30J. Svec2.0011781162M. Lubas1.73911116113LSep 15 · 15:00J. Svec1.619118101L. Havrda2.2011711123
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