TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13146665
Played Sep 17Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111012114118116
Jiri Koch
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1961 above · Jiri Koch below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 93 set 5, 11-6
93 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1961 9–0 Jiri Koch Jiri Koch has won 0 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Strnad beat Koch 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Strnad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koch form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.28 / Koch 3.50
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Strnad)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13146665
Strnad1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 18 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Koch3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog23% won 9 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeStrnad9wins
AwayKoch0wins
2 of 9 to a deciderStrnad leads 9–0, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad100%7 of 7
AwayKochn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad7Koch2n = 9Strnad took 7 of 9
S2Strnad8Koch1n = 9Strnad took 8 of 9
S3Strnad7Koch2n = 9Strnad took 7 of 9
S4Strnad3Koch2n = 5Strnad took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricStrnadKochS − KBasisWins90+9in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match38.427.8+10.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadKochBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 362 vs 41 / 10340.9%39.8%148 / 362 vs 41 / 103Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.535.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.28/Koch 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 17 · 10:00J. Strnad4071111113J. Koch31115871
WAug 18 · 07:30J. Strnad331111113J. Koch165380
WJun 29 · 09:30J. Strnad46111158113J. Koch3986111132
WJun 29 · 08:00J. Strnad331111113J. Koch216780
WNov 2 · 13:30J. Strnad331111113J. Koch228590
WAug 3 · 09:00J. Strnad3711114113J. Koch30661171
WAug 3 · 08:30J. Strnad3961111113J. Koch26115461
WJul 2 · 02:00J. Strnad331111113J. Koch163760
WFeb 2 · 09:00J. Strnad52129119113J. Koch49101181192
J. Strnad10
WSep 17 · 12:30J. Strnad1.401111113J. Stary2.756580LSep 17 · 11:00J. Strnad1.57791191V. Kubat2.2511116113WSep 17 · 10:00J. Koch3.50115871J. Strnad1.2871111113LSep 16 · 13:12J. Strnad2.501111881C. Havrda1.5013611113LSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad3.0011159121J. Cernik1.3661711143WSep 16 · 11:00J. Strnad2.38521111113C. Havrda1.5311114672LSep 16 · 10:00L. Novotny1.57711116113J. Strnad2.2511141132LSep 11 · 17:00J. Hyrsl1.5011115113J. Strnad2.45871181WSep 11 · 16:30J. Strnad2.3811912113R. Buric1.537111071LSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad2.504690J. Hyrsl1.501111113
J. Koch10
WSep 17 · 12:00J. Koch3.2511118113V. Kubat1.33871181WSep 17 · 11:30J. Stary2.756117101J. Koch1.4011911123LSep 17 · 10:00J. Koch3.50115871J. Strnad1.2871111113WSep 16 · 09:00J. Stary2.257480J. Koch1.571111113LSep 16 · 08:30V. Kubat1.361311113J. Koch3.0011520LSep 16 · 07:30J. Koch2.50118791P. Petr1.5071111113WSep 16 · 06:30J. Stary2.25111110972J. Koch1.57561211113LAug 22 · 09:00P. Serak1.101211127133J. Koch6.501451011112LAug 22 · 08:30P. Potmesil1.671111113J. Koch2.101690LAug 22 · 07:30J. Koch1.44581191A. Tkachenko2.6311119113
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