TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139684
Played Sep 17Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116115118––––
Jiri Stary
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1961 to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1961 above · Jiri Stary below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1961 at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1961 4–0 Jiri Stary Jiri Stary has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Strnad
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1032 vs Stary 922
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 40% vs Stary 20%
Strnad
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 30% vs Stary 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad -1 · Stary -4
Stary
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stary form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.40 / Stary 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Strnad)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139684
Strnad1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 18 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Stary2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 18 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back27% 7 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStrnad4wins
AwayStary0wins
Strnad leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad100%3 of 3
AwayStaryn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad3Stary1n = 4Strnad took 3 of 4
S2Strnad3Stary1n = 4Strnad took 3 of 4
S3Strnad3Stary1n = 4Strnad took 3 of 4
S4Strnad3Stary0n = 3Strnad took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricStrnadStaryStrnad − StaryBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.227.0+13.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadStaryBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 362 vs 50 / 13540.9%37%148 / 362 vs 50 / 135Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.40/Stary 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 17 · 12:30J. Strnad331111113J. Stary196580
WAug 11 · 11:30J. Strnad4413911113J. Stary291111431
WMay 21 · 06:00J. Strnad43111110113J. Stary28591221
WSep 24 · 07:30J. Strnad4181111113J. Stary32117681
J. Strnad10
WSep 17 · 13:28J. Strnad1.289101111113J. Koch3.5011124862LSep 17 · 11:00J. Strnad1.57791191V. Kubat2.2511116113WSep 17 · 10:00J. Koch3.50115871J. Strnad1.2871111113LSep 16 · 13:12J. Strnad2.501111881C. Havrda1.5013611113LSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad3.0011159121J. Cernik1.3661711143WSep 16 · 11:00J. Strnad2.38521111113C. Havrda1.5311114672LSep 16 · 10:00L. Novotny1.57711116113J. Strnad2.2511141132LSep 11 · 17:00J. Hyrsl1.5011115113J. Strnad2.45871181WSep 11 · 16:30J. Strnad2.3811912113R. Buric1.537111071LSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad2.504690J. Hyrsl1.501111113
J. Stary10
LSep 17 · 12:59V. Kubat1.50131111113J. Stary2.50159471LSep 17 · 11:30J. Stary2.756117101J. Koch1.4011911123LSep 17 · 10:30V. Kubat1.6111411113J. Stary2.20611591LSep 16 · 09:00J. Stary2.257480J. Koch1.571111113LSep 16 · 08:00P. Petr1.3391111113J. Stary3.25118671WSep 16 · 07:00V. Kubat1.615914131J. Stary2.20111112153LSep 16 · 06:30J. Stary2.25111110972J. Koch1.57561211113WSep 9 · 12:59P. Petr1.2261181182J. Stary4.00118115113LSep 9 · 12:30P. Serak1.5711114153J. Stary2.258511131LSep 9 · 11:30J. Stary1.67118391C. Havrda2.1091111113
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