TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13146506
Played Sep 17Finished
Jiri Zuzanek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111113117711––
Richard Wagner
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJiri Zuzanek above · Richard Wagner below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 80 set 4, 7-11
80 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Zuzanek 6–3 Richard Wagner Richard Wagner has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Zuzanek beat Wagner 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zuzanek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZuzanek 1.80 / Wagner 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zuzanek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13146506
Zuzanek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 102 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it86% 53 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it72% 79 of 110
Wagner1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 29 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeZuzanek6wins
AwayWagner3wins
2 of 9 to a deciderZuzanek leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZuzanek100%6 of 6
AwayWagner100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zuzanek6Wagner3n = 9Zuzanek took 6 of 9
S2Zuzanek4Wagner5n = 9Wagner took 5 of 9
S3Zuzanek7Wagner2n = 9Zuzanek took 7 of 9
S4Zuzanek1Wagner4n = 5Wagner took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricZuzanekWagnerZ − WBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match34.332.3+2.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZuzanekWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime546 / 1086 vs 110 / 20750.3%53.1%546 / 1086 vs 110 / 207Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZuzanekZuzanek 1.80/Wagner 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zuzanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 17 · 12:30J. Zuzanek331111113R. Wagner238960
LSep 17 · 07:30J. Zuzanek29571161R. Wagner4111118113
LAug 17 · 07:30J. Zuzanek26711441R. Wagner3911611113
WAug 1 · 15:00J. Zuzanek341211113R. Wagner2310670
WJul 26 · 13:00J. Zuzanek3811511113R. Wagner27211771
LJul 26 · 10:00J. Zuzanek237880R. Wagner331111113
WJul 14 · 16:58J. Zuzanek50128118113R. Wagner43101161152
WJul 14 · 16:00J. Zuzanek43116114113R. Wagner3961171142
WJul 9 · 18:30J. Zuzanek331111113R. Wagner236980
J. Zuzanek10
WSep 17 · 12:30R. Wagner1.738960J. Zuzanek2.001111113LSep 17 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.63119641R. Urbaniec1.4491111113LSep 17 · 10:30M. Sychra1.9151112113J. Zuzanek1.801191051WSep 17 · 08:58J. Zuzanek1.91131011113M. Regner1.801112861LSep 17 · 08:30M. Regner2.0011811113J. Zuzanek1.73911791LSep 17 · 07:30J. Zuzanek1.83571161R. Wagner1.8311118113WSep 17 · 06:30J. Tazler1.7391080J. Zuzanek2.001112113LSep 16 · 13:30J. Zuzanek1.8512111091V. Vejvoda1.8514912113WSep 16 · 12:30V. Vejvoda1.7366120J. Zuzanek2.001111143LSep 16 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.002350M. Vondrak1.731111113
R. Wagner10
LSep 17 · 12:30R. Wagner1.738960J. Zuzanek2.001111113LSep 17 · 11:00R. Wagner1.858640M. Sychra1.851111113WSep 17 · 10:00R. Urbaniec1.57311741R. Wagner2.2511811113WSep 17 · 09:28R. Wagner1.9111136133J. Tazler1.8031111111LSep 17 · 08:00R. Wagner1.831171071J. Tazler1.8351112113WSep 17 · 07:30J. Zuzanek1.83571161R. Wagner1.8311118113WSep 17 · 06:00R. Wagner1.6111118113M. Regner2.20581191WSep 14 · 02:58M. Vondrak2.00511851R. Wagner1.7311911113LSep 14 · 02:30R. Wagner1.6111490M. Vondrak2.201311113LSep 14 · 01:30J. Tazler2.001112113R. Wagner1.7391060
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