TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145609
Played Sep 18Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511117411118112
Marcel Marjan
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeMarcel Marjan to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1961 above · Marcel Marjan below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 81 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Marcel Marjan at 58.6%
81 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Marjan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1043 vs Marjan 1154
Marjan
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 60% vs Marjan 20%
Strnad
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 40% vs Marjan 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad -1 · Marjan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Marjan) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marjan form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 2.63 / Marjan 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Marjan)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145609
Strnad2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 27 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40
Marjan1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadMarjanBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 358 vs 31 / 7441.6%41.9%149 / 358 vs 31 / 74Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarjanStrnad 2.63/Marjan 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Marjan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Strnad won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Strnad10
LSep 18 · 10:00J. Cernik1.4091113113J. Strnad2.751171141WSep 17 · 13:28J. Strnad1.289101111113J. Koch3.5011124862WSep 17 · 12:30J. Strnad1.401111113J. Stary2.756580LSep 17 · 11:00J. Strnad1.57791191V. Kubat2.2511116113WSep 17 · 10:00J. Koch3.50115871J. Strnad1.2871111113LSep 16 · 13:12J. Strnad2.501111881C. Havrda1.5013611113LSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad3.0011159121J. Cernik1.3661711143WSep 16 · 11:00J. Strnad2.38521111113C. Havrda1.5311114672LSep 16 · 10:00L. Novotny1.57711116113J. Strnad2.2511141132LSep 11 · 17:00J. Hyrsl1.5011115113J. Strnad2.45871181
M. Marjan10
WSep 18 · 10:30M. Marjan2.0212117113L. Novotny1.701071181LSep 18 · 09:12J. Cernik1.831113133M. Marjan1.83911110LSep 18 · 08:00M. Vaclavik1.67118811113M. Marjan2.1081111592LSep 18 · 07:00L. Novotny1.801111113M. Marjan1.915680LSep 18 · 06:30M. Marjan1.733711111J. Cernik2.0011117133WMay 27 · 12:59C. Havrda2.0011951472M. Marjan1.738111112113LMay 27 · 12:30M. Marjan1.447940C. Havrda2.631111113LMay 27 · 11:00M. Marjan1.80611721D. Mutl1.9111611113LMay 27 · 10:00L. Madle1.33111189123M. Marjan3.25481111102WApr 18 · 09:29J. Svec1.73119491M. Marjan2.0091111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Strnad
M. Marjan
Nothing scheduled
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