TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11763176
Played Apr 18Finished
Jiri Svec
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911411911––
Marcel Marjan
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Marcel Marjan below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 4-6
Point 65 set 4, 4-6
65 points drawn · the score is 10 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jiri Svec 3–3 Marcel Marjan Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Marjan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marjan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 1.73 / Marjan 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Marjan)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11763176
The market does not separate these two
1.73 against 2.00 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Svec1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Marjan2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSvec3wins
AwayMarjan3wins
Level at 3–3.
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svec5Marjan1n = 6Svec took 5 of 6
S2Svec1Marjan5n = 6Marjan took 5 of 6
S3Svec1Marjan5n = 6Marjan took 5 of 6
S4Svec4Marjan1n = 5Svec took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSvecMarjanS − MBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match38.038.3−0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecMarjanBasisWin rate · lifetime469 / 1018 vs 31 / 7546.1%41.3%469 / 1018 vs 31 / 75Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarjanSvec 1.73/Marjan 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Marjan · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Marjan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
L—J. Svec—0M. Marjan—3
W—J. Svec—3M. Marjan—2
W—J. Svec—3M. Marjan—1
W—J. Svec—3M. Marjan—1
L—J. Svec—3M. Marjan—1
L—J. Svec—3M. Marjan—2
J. Svec10
LSep 15 · 17:10L. Havrda1.92812611113J. Svec1.78111011962LSep 15 · 16:30J. Svec2.0011781162M. Lubas1.73911116113LSep 15 · 15:00J. Svec1.619118101L. Havrda2.2011711123LSep 15 · 14:00V. Stach2.751612711113J. Svec1.40181011752WSep 13 · 09:30M. Barta1.8753131172J. Svec1.831111118113LSep 13 · 08:30J. Svec1.8081170M. Bohac1.911113113WSep 13 · 07:00J. Svec2.75611314113F. Trojan1.40119111252WSep 13 · 06:00M. Barta1.678780J. Svec2.101111113LSep 12 · 17:29J. Svec2.2511770J. Grohsgott1.571311113WSep 12 · 16:30M. Syroha1.8391120J. Svec1.831113113
M. Marjan10
WMay 27 · 12:59C. Havrda2.0011951472M. Marjan1.738111112113LMay 27 · 12:30M. Marjan1.447940C. Havrda2.631111113LMay 27 · 11:00M. Marjan1.80611721D. Mutl1.9111611113LMay 27 · 10:00L. Madle1.33111189123M. Marjan3.25481111102WApr 18 · 08:00J. Hyrsl1.831061261M. Marjan1.83121110113LApr 18 · 07:00J. Svec1.80101111113M. Marjan1.91128761WApr 18 · 06:30M. Marjan1.611111113J. Martinek2.206890WFeb 19 · 09:58P. Sprynar2.256950M. Marjan1.571111113LFeb 19 · 09:00M. Marjan2.501161171M. Ulrych1.5013116113LFeb 19 · 08:30J. Cernik2.1011118113M. Marjan1.67261121
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