TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11759928
Played Apr 18Finished
Marcel Marjan
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118119––––
Jaroslav Martinek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingMarcel Marjan above · Jaroslav Martinek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9
56 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Marjan 1–0 Jaroslav Martinek Jaroslav Martinek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Marjan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martinek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarjan 1.61 / Martinek 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Marjan)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #11759928
The market does not separate these two
1.61 against 2.20 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Marjan1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Martinek2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMarjan1wins
AwayMartinek0wins
Marjan leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMarjanMartinekMarjan − MartinekBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.023.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarjanMartinekBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 74 vs 70 / 14940.5%47%30 / 74 vs 70 / 149Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarjanMarjan 1.61/Martinek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Marjan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Marjan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—M. Marjan—3J. Martinek—0
M. Marjan10
WMay 27 · 12:59C. Havrda2.0011951472M. Marjan1.738111112113LMay 27 · 12:30M. Marjan1.447940C. Havrda2.631111113LMay 27 · 11:00M. Marjan1.80611721D. Mutl1.9111611113LMay 27 · 10:00L. Madle1.33111189123M. Marjan3.25481111102WApr 18 · 09:29J. Svec1.73119491M. Marjan2.0091111113WApr 18 · 08:00J. Hyrsl1.831061261M. Marjan1.83121110113LApr 18 · 07:00J. Svec1.80101111113M. Marjan1.91128761WFeb 19 · 09:58P. Sprynar2.256950M. Marjan1.571111113LFeb 19 · 09:00M. Marjan2.501161171M. Ulrych1.5013116113LFeb 19 · 08:30J. Cernik2.1011118113M. Marjan1.67261121
J. Martinek10
LSep 15 · 21:07M. Varcl1.53101111113J. Martinek2.38129861WSep 15 · 20:00M. Varcl1.36119771J. Martinek3.0061111113LSep 15 · 19:00M. Syroha1.331111113J. Martinek3.253750LSep 15 · 18:30J. Martinek2.754340V. Stach1.401111113LSep 11 · 20:58V. Stach1.4411312113J. Martinek2.637111051LSep 11 · 20:30J. Martinek1.67871181J. Hyrsl2.1011118113LSep 11 · 19:00J. Martinek2.259111091V. Stach1.5711912113LSep 11 · 18:00J. Pelikan1.501111113J. Martinek2.508630LSep 6 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.2811312113J. Martinek3.257111051WSep 6 · 08:00L. Novotny1.7331080J. Martinek2.001112113
Upcoming Matches
M. Marjan
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