TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13142847
Played Sep 17Finished
Iolanta Yevtodii
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1191012511811––
Ulana Dronova
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:22 and never touched — 78.2% is still 78.2%
Graded at full timeIolanta Yevtodii to win
78.2%
78.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIolanta Yevtodii above · Ulana Dronova below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Iolanta Yevtodii at 78.2%
77 points played in total.
H2H Iolanta Yevtodii 26–8 Ulana Dronova Ulana Dronova has won 8 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:22What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Yevtodii
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-8 in 34
Yevtodii
Wrong
gap of 18 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yevtodii 1868 vs Dronova 1655
Yevtodii
Wrong
both rated, 213 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yevtodii 40% vs Dronova 80%
Dronova
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yevtodii 60% vs Dronova 80%
Dronova
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yevtodii +1 · Dronova -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Yevtodii) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dronova form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYevtodii 1.22 / Dronova 4.00
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Yevtodii)+2.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13142847
Yevtodii1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 69 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it83% 45 of 54
Dronova4.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 6 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back30% 3 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYevtodii7wins
AwayDronova3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderYevtodii leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYevtodii80%4 of 5
AwayDronova40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yevtodii5Dronova5n = 10split evenly
S2Yevtodii7Dronova3n = 10Yevtodii took 7 of 10
S3Yevtodii6Dronova4n = 10Yevtodii took 6 of 10
S4Yevtodii6Dronova1n = 7Yevtodii took 6 of 7
S5Yevtodii1Dronova2n = 3Dronova took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYevtodiiDronovaY − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.232.9+6.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYevtodiiDronovaBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 144 vs 48 / 10373.6%46.6%106 / 144 vs 48 / 103Avg sets wonper match2.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.735.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YevtodiiYevtodii 1.22/Dronova 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79%
Yevtodii · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dronova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 05:30I. Yevtodii4211841182U. Dronova49711119113
WAug 13 · 07:00I. Yevtodii47611118113U. Dronova3811731162
WAug 12 · 05:30I. Yevtodii3741111113U. Dronova28116561
WApr 7 · 06:30I. Yevtodii3961111113U. Dronova31119561
WApr 6 · 17:40I. Yevtodii331111113U. Dronova138320
WFeb 26 · 06:05I. Yevtodii44111111113U. Dronova38971391
LFeb 25 · 18:40I. Yevtodii531111111192U. Dronova50131386103
LFeb 11 · 11:05I. Yevtodii2138100U. Dronova341111123
WJan 11 · 06:05I. Yevtodii331111113U. Dronova153840
WJan 10 · 12:40I. Yevtodii4311138113U. Dronova332111191
I. Yevtodii10
WSep 17 · 07:30I. Yevtodii1.259111111113R. Budnyk3.7511136472LSep 17 · 06:00I. Yevtodii2.10116961A. Ovriakh1.6781111113WSep 17 · 04:30I. Yevtodii1.401111113N. Plokhotniuk2.757950LSep 16 · 11:00I. Yevtodii2.00891251A. Ovriakh1.73111110113LSep 16 · 09:00R. Budnyk4.00115811123I. Yevtodii1.22911114102WSep 16 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.401411113N. Plokhotniuk2.7512860WSep 16 · 07:00A. Kurtenko4.508121151I. Yevtodii1.17111013113LSep 16 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.2011841182U. Dronova4.33711119113WSep 10 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.22101111113R. Budnyk4.00126681WSep 10 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.75711931I. Yevtodii1.4011911113
U. Dronova10
LSep 17 · 08:00U. Dronova3.7511119472A. Ovriakh1.25871111113WSep 17 · 05:30U. Dronova1.83111297113R. Budnyk1.83910111162WSep 16 · 11:30U. Dronova2.63111185163N. Plokhotniuk1.44991111142WSep 16 · 09:30A. Kurtenko1.731161091U. Dronova2.0081112113WSep 16 · 07:30R. Budnyk1.735840U. Dronova2.001111113LSep 16 · 06:30U. Dronova3.001061181A. Ovriakh1.3612114113WSep 16 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.2011841182U. Dronova4.33711119113WSep 14 · 11:30U. Dronova1.441111113S. Yureneva2.639650WSep 14 · 09:30V. Kurtenko2.2511119132U. Dronova1.57291111113WSep 14 · 07:30P. Pashchenko1.674850U. Dronova2.101111113
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