TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13137134
Played Sep 16Finished
Iolanta Yevtodii
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8119111210511––
Alina Ovriakh
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlina Ovriakh to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIolanta Yevtodii above · Alina Ovriakh below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 77 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Alina Ovriakh at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Iolanta Yevtodii 9–7 Alina Ovriakh Alina Ovriakh has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:35What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ovriakh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Yevtodii
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yevtodii 1883 vs Ovriakh 1938
Ovriakh
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yevtodii 60% vs Ovriakh 100%
Ovriakh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yevtodii 50% vs Ovriakh 90%
Ovriakh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yevtodii -1 · Ovriakh +5
Ovriakh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ovriakh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovriakh form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYevtodii 2.00 / Ovriakh 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ovriakh)+0.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13137134
Yevtodii2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Ovriakh1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 41 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYevtodii6wins
AwayOvriakh4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderYevtodii leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYevtodii75%3 of 4
AwayOvriakh50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yevtodii4Ovriakh6n = 10Ovriakh took 6 of 10
S2Yevtodii3Ovriakh7n = 10Ovriakh took 7 of 10
S3Yevtodii3Ovriakh7n = 10Ovriakh took 7 of 10
S4Yevtodii5Ovriakh3n = 8Yevtodii took 5 of 8
S5Yevtodii5Ovriakh0n = 5Yevtodii took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricYevtodiiOvriakhY − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.840.7−0.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYevtodiiOvriakhBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 140 vs 63 / 9274.3%68.5%104 / 140 vs 63 / 92Avg sets wonper match2.52.5per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvriakhYevtodii 2.00/Ovriakh 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ovriakh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ovriakh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 05:30I. Yevtodii228950A. Ovriakh331111113
WSep 9 · 06:30I. Yevtodii541181211123A. Ovriakh46411147102
WAug 13 · 05:30I. Yevtodii48811711113A. Ovriakh4711911792
WAug 12 · 07:00I. Yevtodii46129311113A. Ovriakh43101111562
LJul 7 · 08:30I. Yevtodii217590A. Ovriakh331111113
WJun 25 · 04:30I. Yevtodii47711611123A. Ovriakh47118117102
WJun 24 · 12:05I. Yevtodii44611115113A. Ovriakh4311771172
WJun 18 · 05:00I. Yevtodii46111311113A. Ovriakh36915571
LJun 17 · 12:05I. Yevtodii3911111071A. Ovriakh4261312113
LMay 30 · 11:35I. Yevtodii31941171A. Ovriakh3711114113
I. Yevtodii10
LSep 16 · 09:00R. Budnyk4.00115811123I. Yevtodii1.22911114102WSep 16 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.401411113N. Plokhotniuk2.7512860WSep 16 · 07:00A. Kurtenko4.508121151I. Yevtodii1.17111013113LSep 16 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.2011841182U. Dronova4.33711119113WSep 10 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.22101111113R. Budnyk4.00126681WSep 10 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.75711931I. Yevtodii1.4011911113LSep 10 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.251111461A. Rzhevska3.7591311113WSep 10 · 07:00P. Pashchenko6.50911741I. Yevtodii1.1011911113LSep 10 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.838950A. Ovriakh1.831111113LSep 9 · 11:30I. Yevtodii1.177650A. Rzhevska4.501111113
A. Ovriakh10
WSep 16 · 10:00N. Plokhotniuk2.50115111072A. Ovriakh1.50811712113WSep 16 · 08:30A. Kurtenko3.751161021A. Ovriakh1.2561112113WSep 16 · 06:30U. Dronova3.001061181A. Ovriakh1.3612114113WSep 16 · 04:30R. Budnyk4.0081161142A. Ovriakh1.22118118113WSep 10 · 11:30A. Ovriakh1.1412611113A. Rzhevska5.001011451WSep 10 · 09:30P. Pashchenko6.50117531A. Ovriakh1.1081111113WSep 10 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk2.209540A. Ovriakh1.611111113WSep 10 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.301111113R. Budnyk3.408970WSep 10 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.838950A. Ovriakh1.831111113LSep 9 · 11:00N. Plokhotniuk1.911112109113A. Ovriakh1.80610121182
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.