TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13142734
Played Sep 17Finished
Iolanta Yevtodii
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111113116114117
Roksolana Budnyk
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeIolanta Yevtodii to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIolanta Yevtodii above · Roksolana Budnyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Iolanta Yevtodii at 76.6%
94 points played in total.
H2H Iolanta Yevtodii 14–5 Roksolana Budnyk Roksolana Budnyk has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Yevtodii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-5 in 19
Yevtodii
Correct
gap of 9 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yevtodii 1868 vs Budnyk 1695
Yevtodii
Correct
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yevtodii 40% vs Budnyk 60%
Budnyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yevtodii 50% vs Budnyk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yevtodii -1 · Budnyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Yevtodii)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budnyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYevtodii 1.25 / Budnyk 3.75
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Yevtodii)+1.6pp
Setka Cup Women · #13142734
Yevtodii1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 69 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it83% 45 of 54
Budnyk3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 9 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYevtodii8wins
AwayBudnyk2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderYevtodii leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYevtodii100%5 of 5
AwayBudnyk40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yevtodii5Budnyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Yevtodii8Budnyk2n = 10Yevtodii took 8 of 10
S3Yevtodii7Budnyk3n = 10Yevtodii took 7 of 10
S4Yevtodii5Budnyk1n = 6Yevtodii took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYevtodiiBudnykY − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.330.4+8.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYevtodiiBudnykBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 144 vs 55 / 11073.6%50%106 / 144 vs 55 / 110Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.735.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YevtodiiYevtodii 1.25/Budnyk 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Yevtodii · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Yevtodii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 07:30I. Yevtodii539111111113R. Budnyk4111136472
LSep 16 · 09:00I. Yevtodii45911114102R. Budnyk47115811123
WSep 10 · 11:00I. Yevtodii43101111113R. Budnyk32126681
LSep 9 · 09:30I. Yevtodii258890R. Budnyk331111113
WAug 12 · 11:00I. Yevtodii4281211113R. Budnyk321110651
WJul 6 · 09:00I. Yevtodii351111133R. Budnyk1944110
WMar 26 · 08:35I. Yevtodii341111123R. Budnyk2376100
WMar 25 · 13:10I. Yevtodii331111113R. Budnyk176380
WMar 10 · 06:30I. Yevtodii4011117113R. Budnyk26841131
WFeb 26 · 09:05I. Yevtodii43111110113R. Budnyk34791261
I. Yevtodii10
LSep 17 · 06:00I. Yevtodii2.10116961A. Ovriakh1.6781111113WSep 17 · 04:30I. Yevtodii1.401111113N. Plokhotniuk2.757950LSep 16 · 11:00I. Yevtodii2.00891251A. Ovriakh1.73111110113LSep 16 · 09:00R. Budnyk4.00115811123I. Yevtodii1.22911114102WSep 16 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.401411113N. Plokhotniuk2.7512860WSep 16 · 07:00A. Kurtenko4.508121151I. Yevtodii1.17111013113LSep 16 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.2011841182U. Dronova4.33711119113WSep 10 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.22101111113R. Budnyk4.00126681WSep 10 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.75711931I. Yevtodii1.4011911113LSep 10 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.251111461A. Rzhevska3.7591311113
R. Budnyk10
WSep 17 · 06:30R. Budnyk2.6311127123N. Plokhotniuk1.4491011101LSep 17 · 05:30U. Dronova1.83111297113R. Budnyk1.83910111162WSep 16 · 10:30R. Budnyk1.53119811113A. Kurtenko2.3861111922WSep 16 · 09:00R. Budnyk4.00115811123I. Yevtodii1.22911114102LSep 16 · 07:30R. Budnyk1.735840U. Dronova2.001111113WSep 16 · 06:00R. Budnyk2.75811511113N. Plokhotniuk1.4011811882LSep 16 · 04:30R. Budnyk4.0081161142A. Ovriakh1.22118118113LSep 10 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.22101111113R. Budnyk4.00126681LSep 10 · 10:00A. Rzhevska2.501211133R. Budnyk1.50105110WSep 10 · 08:30P. Pashchenko2.25711981R. Budnyk1.5711611113
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