TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13142774
Played Sep 17Finished
Roksolana Budnyk
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11912107111210––
Nataliia Plokhotniuk
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeNataliia Plokhotniuk to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoksolana Budnyk above · Nataliia Plokhotniuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 82 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Nataliia Plokhotniuk at 65.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Roksolana Budnyk 8–15 Nataliia Plokhotniuk Roksolana Budnyk has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:43What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Plokhotniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-15 in 23
Plokhotniuk
Wrong
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budnyk 1702 vs Plokhotniuk 1699
Budnyk
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budnyk 60% vs Plokhotniuk 0%
Budnyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budnyk 40% vs Plokhotniuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Budnyk -1 · Plokhotniuk -5
Plokhotniuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Plokhotniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plokhotniuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudnyk 2.63 / Plokhotniuk 1.44
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Plokhotniuk)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup Women · #13142774
Budnyk2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 9 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Plokhotniuk1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 57 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it100% 33 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBudnyk5wins
AwayPlokhotniuk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudnyk100%3 of 3
AwayPlokhotniuk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budnyk3Plokhotniuk7n = 10Plokhotniuk took 7 of 10
S2Budnyk5Plokhotniuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Budnyk6Plokhotniuk4n = 10Budnyk took 6 of 10
S4Budnyk3Plokhotniuk4n = 7Plokhotniuk took 4 of 7
S5Budnyk2Plokhotniuk1n = 3Budnyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBudnykPlokhotniukB − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.239.5−2.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudnykPlokhotniukBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 110 vs 102 / 16750.9%61.1%56 / 110 vs 102 / 167Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlokhotniukBudnyk 2.63/Plokhotniuk 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Plokhotniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Budnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 06:30R. Budnyk4211127123N. Plokhotniuk4091011101
WSep 16 · 06:00R. Budnyk46811511113N. Plokhotniuk4611811882
WSep 10 · 04:30R. Budnyk341112113N. Plokhotniuk2561090
WSep 9 · 07:00R. Budnyk49811145113N. Plokhotniuk51118121192
WAug 12 · 04:30R. Budnyk4514911113N. Plokhotniuk401211891
LJul 23 · 08:00R. Budnyk4781111982N. Plokhotniuk43116411113
LJul 6 · 09:58R. Budnyk229670N. Plokhotniuk331111113
LJul 6 · 06:00R. Budnyk206950N. Plokhotniuk331111113
LMar 26 · 07:35R. Budnyk365911111N. Plokhotniuk4311118133
LMar 25 · 15:10R. Budnyk31661181N. Plokhotniuk4111118113
R. Budnyk10
LSep 17 · 05:30U. Dronova1.83111297113R. Budnyk1.83910111162WSep 16 · 10:30R. Budnyk1.53119811113A. Kurtenko2.3861111922WSep 16 · 09:00R. Budnyk4.00115811123I. Yevtodii1.22911114102LSep 16 · 07:30R. Budnyk1.735840U. Dronova2.001111113WSep 16 · 06:00R. Budnyk2.75811511113N. Plokhotniuk1.4011811882LSep 16 · 04:30R. Budnyk4.0081161142A. Ovriakh1.22118118113LSep 10 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.22101111113R. Budnyk4.00126681LSep 10 · 10:00A. Rzhevska2.501211133R. Budnyk1.50105110WSep 10 · 08:30P. Pashchenko2.25711981R. Budnyk1.5711611113LSep 10 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.301111113R. Budnyk3.408970
N. Plokhotniuk10
LSep 17 · 04:30I. Yevtodii1.401111113N. Plokhotniuk2.757950LSep 16 · 11:30U. Dronova2.63111185163N. Plokhotniuk1.44991111142LSep 16 · 10:00N. Plokhotniuk2.50115111072A. Ovriakh1.50811712113LSep 16 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.401411113N. Plokhotniuk2.7512860LSep 16 · 06:00R. Budnyk2.75811511113N. Plokhotniuk1.4011811882WSep 16 · 05:00A. Kurtenko3.257890N. Plokhotniuk1.331111113WSep 10 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.221111113P. Pashchenko4.007150LSep 10 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.75711931I. Yevtodii1.4011911113LSep 10 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk2.209540A. Ovriakh1.611111113WSep 10 · 06:00N. Plokhotniuk1.171111113A. Rzhevska4.504740
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