TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13133807
Played Sep 15Finished
Dawid Kotwica
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
71112101181012119
Jakub Nosiadek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Nosiadek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
71112101181012119
H2H Dawid Kotwica 0–2 Jakub Nosiadek Dawid Kotwica has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Nosiadek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kotwica 1208 vs Nosiadek 1218
Nosiadek
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotwica 20% vs Nosiadek 60%
Nosiadek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotwica 30% vs Nosiadek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotwica +1 · Nosiadek +3
Nosiadek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nosiadek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotwica form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotwica 1.91 / Nosiadek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nosiadek)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13133807
Kotwica1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 142 of 402
Down 0–1, comes back18% 43 of 236
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 146
Nosiadek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 12 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it62% 8 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKotwica0wins
AwayNosiadek2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderNosiadek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKotwicaNosiadekK − NBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.541.5−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotwicaNosiadekBasisWin rate · lifetime638 / 1558 vs 33 / 9341%35.5%638 / 1558 vs 33 / 93Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NosiadekKotwica 1.91/Nosiadek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nosiadek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kotwica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 8 · 18:30D. Kotwica311121081J. Nosiadek3841112113
LMar 19 · 19:10D. Kotwica4461171192J. Nosiadek45117115113
D. Kotwica10
WSep 15 · 19:40D. Kotwica2.1611114113D. Szlubowski1.57881191WSep 15 · 17:20D. Kotwica1.68138118113K. Golaszewski2.05111131102LSep 15 · 16:15P. Ostachowski5.201111113D. Kotwica1.108790LSep 15 · 15:25D. Kotwica1.90119191J. Rolak1.8091111113LSep 14 · 24:10D. Kotwica2.30146771R. Stapor1.52121111113LSep 13 · 23:20D. Kotwica1.5511812882K. Marchlewski2.207111011113LSep 13 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.5591111292A. Linek1.42118911113WSep 13 · 21:30D. Kotwica1.80118119113K. Rudomina1.9181191182LSep 13 · 20:30K. Marchlewski2.2911811143D. Kotwica1.517116121WSep 13 · 19:20D. Kotwica2.4591111113R. Stapor1.47117481
J. Nosiadek10
WSep 15 · 20:05J. Nosiadek1.76981112123K. Golaszewski1.881111410102WSep 15 · 17:45P. Ostachowski4.804811101J. Nosiadek1.1211116123WSep 15 · 16:55J. Nosiadek1.80391111113J. Rolak1.8611111752WSep 15 · 15:50J. Nosiadek2.35115117133D. Szlubowski1.48511711112LSep 7 · 20:05J. Przewlocki1.80821111113J. Nosiadek1.9011118892LSep 7 · 19:20M. Trela1.761491110133J. Nosiadek1.901211612112LSep 7 · 17:20B. Mrugala1.95611811113J. Nosiadek1.7411911762LSep 7 · 16:35P. Strus1.9512911113J. Nosiadek1.761011871WSep 7 · 15:00W. Iwasyszyn1.7598120J. Nosiadek1.951111143LSep 7 · 14:20M. Minda1.421111113J. Nosiadek2.606970
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