TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131170
Played Sep 15Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113211––––
Serhii Balabei
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 77.2% is still 77.2%
Graded at full timeSerhii Balabei to win
77.2%
77.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Serhii Balabei below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 56 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Serhii Balabei at 77.2%
56 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 24–93 Serhii Balabei Serhii Kushnirenko has won 24 of their 117 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:12What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Balabei
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-93 in 117
Balabei
Correct
gap of 69 in 117, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kushnirenko 1871 vs Balabei 1984
Balabei
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kushnirenko 40% vs Balabei 80%
Balabei
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kushnirenko 40% vs Balabei 80%
Balabei
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kushnirenko -1 · Balabei -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Balabei) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 3.25 / Balabei 1.33
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Balabei)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13131170
Kushnirenko3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 131 of 392
Down 0–1, comes back18% 43 of 236
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 130
Balabei1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 201 of 280
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it88% 142 of 162
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko2wins
AwayBalabei8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBalabei leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBalabei87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko2Balabei8n = 10Balabei took 8 of 10
S2Kushnirenko3Balabei7n = 10Balabei took 7 of 10
S3Kushnirenko3Balabei7n = 10Balabei took 7 of 10
S4Kushnirenko1Balabei5n = 6Balabei took 5 of 6
S5Kushnirenko2Balabei1n = 3Kushnirenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoBalabeiK − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.038.7−7.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoBalabeiBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 784 vs 510 / 100341.5%50.9%325 / 784 vs 510 / 1003Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BalabeiKushnirenko 3.25/Balabei 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.2%
Balabei · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Balabei won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko27611731S. Balabei4011711113
WAug 31 · 13:30S. Kushnirenko46116117113S. Balabei4551191192
LAug 26 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko219480S. Balabei331111113
LAug 25 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko189450S. Balabei331111113
WAug 22 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko4687111193S. Balabei4311117862
LAug 20 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko214890S. Balabei331111113
LAug 18 · 13:30S. Kushnirenko30841171S. Balabei3811115113
LAug 15 · 17:04S. Kushnirenko4511119772S. Balabei48781111113
LAug 15 · 16:00S. Kushnirenko34814751S. Balabei4111121173
LAug 13 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko227780S. Balabei331111113
S. Kushnirenko10
LSep 15 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko10.003750S. Ponomarenko1.031111113WSep 14 · 17:04S. Kiilo2.751011861S. Kushnirenko1.4012511113LSep 14 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.50117122102R. Horokh1.503111011123WSep 14 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko1.25139711113M. Levytskii3.75111111392LSep 14 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko3.25117521S. Balabei1.3391111113WSep 14 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko1.3612119113S. Kiilo3.001071141LSep 12 · 10:00S. Kushnirenko2.2061111752R. Horokh1.61119911113WSep 12 · 09:00S. Kushnirenko2.101111113V. Komar1.679580LSep 12 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113S. Kushnirenko2.108670LSep 12 · 07:00S. Ponomarenko1.0311114113S. Kushnirenko10.00631141
S. Balabei10
LSep 15 · 15:00R. Horokh1.731111113S. Balabei2.004890LSep 15 · 12:30D. Kryshtal2.3811116113S. Balabei1.53431161WSep 14 · 17:33S. Balabei2.001311911113R. Horokh1.7315511562WSep 14 · 16:00S. Balabei1.14118911113S. Kiilo5.0071111692WSep 14 · 15:00R. Horokh1.91151111161S. Balabei1.8017136183WSep 14 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko3.25117521S. Balabei1.3391111113WSep 14 · 12:30M. Levytskii4.5010613101S. Balabei1.17121111123WSep 11 · 17:02S. Balabei1.361112411163V. Komar3.00314119142LSep 11 · 16:00V. Komar2.00118116123S. Balabei1.73811211102WSep 11 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.20491151S. Balabei1.6111114113
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