TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13127720
Played Sep 14Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
1.54
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210811311611––
Mateusz Burkacki
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:51 and never touched — 62.6% is still 62.6%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Molka to win
62.6%
62.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
1210811311611––
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 15–11 Mateusz Burkacki Mateusz Burkacki has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Molka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-11 in 26
Molka
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molka 1622 vs Burkacki 1487
Molka
Wrong
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molka 60% vs Burkacki 40%
Molka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molka 60% vs Burkacki 40%
Molka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molka +1 · Burkacki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Molka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 1.54 / Burkacki 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Molka)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13127720
Molka1.54
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 57 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Burkacki2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 52 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back23% 19 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka6wins
AwayBurkacki4wins
Molka leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka100%4 of 4
AwayBurkacki66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka4Burkacki6n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S2Molka5Burkacki5n = 10split evenly
S3Molka7Burkacki3n = 10Molka took 7 of 10
S4Molka3Burkacki1n = 4Molka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaBurkackiM − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.031.3+1.7per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime536 / 1169 vs 87 / 21945.9%39.7%536 / 1169 vs 87 / 219Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolkaMolka 1.54/Burkacki 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.6%
Molka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Burkacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 06:00B. Molka32851181M. Burkacki4211119113
WSep 7 · 09:00B. Molka4411812133M. Burkacki4191110111
WSep 2 · 09:30B. Molka341112113M. Burkacki2471070
LJul 7 · 13:10B. Molka226970M. Burkacki331111113
WJul 7 · 05:00B. Molka46101411113M. Burkacki371212671
WJul 6 · 05:30B. Molka331111113M. Burkacki155640
LJul 3 · 05:30B. Molka238780M. Burkacki331111113
WJul 2 · 09:00B. Molka4161212113M. Burkacki3311101021
WJun 29 · 13:00B. Molka331111113M. Burkacki228680
LJun 29 · 05:30B. Molka229940M. Burkacki331111113
B. Molka10
WSep 13 · 23:40M. Stepien1.497880B. Molka2.451111113LSep 13 · 22:05B. Molka2.11117831P. Gola1.6691111113WSep 13 · 20:05S. Wloszek1.955814131B. Molka1.74111112153WSep 13 · 18:05S. Radlo2.10811130B. Molka1.661113153LSep 13 · 17:05B. Molka2.4056100M. Stepien1.511111123WSep 13 · 16:05M. Lysakowski1.50881271B. Molka2.40111110113LSep 11 · 13:00B. Molka1.916790M. Galus1.801111113WSep 11 · 11:00M. Lysakowski1.6311111571B. Molka2.0591317113LSep 11 · 10:00B. Molka2.107911111D. Stapor1.6011117133WSep 11 · 09:00B. Molka2.2011911113M. Galus1.60911971
M. Burkacki10
LSep 9 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi2.5351111133M. Burkacki1.471187111WSep 9 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.0561111113S. Wloszek1.66118971LSep 9 · 09:30P. Gola1.561012118113M. Burkacki2.18121091152LSep 9 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.5011711752D. Skvarskyi1.47911911113WSep 9 · 07:30M. Lysakowski1.39812100M. Burkacki2.801114123WSep 9 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.1811118113D. Stapor1.56961191LSep 8 · 13:10D. Stapor1.60111157113M. Burkacki2.2066111182WSep 8 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.101011118113S. Wloszek1.6012281162LSep 8 · 09:30D. Stapor1.601111113M. Burkacki2.108660LSep 8 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.2597120S. Radlo1.541111143
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