TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125152
Played Sep 13Finished
Michal Lysakowski
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8118111210711––
Bartlomiej Molka
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:32 and never touched — 60.6% is still 60.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Lysakowski to win
60.6%
60.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
8118111210711––
H2H Michal Lysakowski 64–42 Bartlomiej Molka Bartlomiej Molka has won 42 of their 106 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Lysakowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-42 in 106
Lysakowski
Wrong
gap of 22 in 106, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysakowski 1680 vs Molka 1600
Lysakowski
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysakowski 80% vs Molka 40%
Lysakowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysakowski 60% vs Molka 40%
Lysakowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysakowski +1 · Molka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Lysakowski) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysakowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysakowski 1.50 / Molka 2.40
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Lysakowski)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13125152
Lysakowski1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 183 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it92% 115 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it75% 154 of 206
Molka2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 169 of 377
Down 0–1, comes back21% 44 of 210
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysakowski6wins
AwayMolka4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysakowski71.4%5 of 7
AwayMolka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysakowski7Molka3n = 10Lysakowski took 7 of 10
S2Lysakowski6Molka4n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S3Lysakowski5Molka5n = 10split evenly
S4Lysakowski4Molka3n = 7Lysakowski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysakowskiMolkaL − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.036.3+3.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysakowskiMolkaBasisWin rate · lifetime644 / 1317 vs 533 / 116448.9%45.8%644 / 1317 vs 533 / 1164Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiLysakowski 1.50/Molka 2.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.1%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Molka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 11:00M. Lysakowski4411111571B. Molka5091317113
WSep 7 · 07:30M. Lysakowski4111118113B. Molka34971171
WAug 31 · 07:00M. Lysakowski43101111113B. Molka39129991
WAug 30 · 15:35M. Lysakowski43111011113B. Molka29912531
LAug 28 · 08:30M. Lysakowski25111040B. Molka361312113
WAug 26 · 12:00M. Lysakowski331111113B. Molka225890
LAug 19 · 07:30M. Lysakowski4591115101B. Molka4711717123
WAug 17 · 13:10M. Lysakowski351111133B. Molka2467110
LAug 17 · 06:30M. Lysakowski49118118112B. Molka51711911133
WAug 16 · 15:05M. Lysakowski4211119113B. Molka31661181
M. Lysakowski10
WSep 12 · 14:05D. Skvarskyi1.821168101M. Lysakowski1.8881111123LSep 12 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.9811117113M. Lysakowski1.73891171WSep 12 · 11:05M. Lysakowski2.051111113M. Stepien1.688850WSep 12 · 10:05M. Lysakowski1.7121511143P. Gola2.0019114121WSep 12 · 08:35M. Lysakowski1.5713111211113S. Radlo2.151113101372WSep 12 · 05:30M. Lysakowski2.2511115113M. Ovcharenko1.54841181LSep 11 · 12:30M. Lysakowski—1161281P. Gola—81114113LSep 11 · 11:00M. Lysakowski1.6311111571B. Molka2.0591317113WSep 11 · 09:30M. Lysakowski2.001211113M. Ovcharenko1.7110460LSep 11 · 08:00M. Lysakowski1.73871591D. Stapor1.98111113113
B. Molka10
LSep 11 · 13:00B. Molka1.916790M. Galus1.801111113WSep 11 · 11:00M. Lysakowski1.6311111571B. Molka2.0591317113LSep 11 · 10:00B. Molka2.107911111D. Stapor1.6011117133WSep 11 · 09:00B. Molka2.2011911113M. Galus1.60911971LSep 11 · 07:30B. Molka2.6541111692M. Ovcharenko1.43117811113WSep 11 · 05:30B. Molka2.411111113P. Gola1.467890LSep 8 · 12:40B. Molka—8870S. Wloszek—1111113LSep 8 · 12:00B. Molka1.75137121082S. Radlo1.9511111012113LSep 8 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.47119118113B. Molka2.5051161182WSep 8 · 08:00D. Stapor1.83531191B. Molka1.8611112113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.