TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13120460
Played Sep 12Finished
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Home
1.82
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1186118111012––
Michal Lysakowski
Away
1.88
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1186118111012––
H2H Dmytro Skvarskyi 10–11 Michal Lysakowski Dmytro Skvarskyi has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Skvarskyi beat Lysakowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skvarskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysakowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvarskyi 1.82 / Lysakowski 1.88
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+3.4pp
TT Cup · #13120460
Skvarskyi1.82
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 70 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Lysakowski1.88
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog48% won 100 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvarskyi4wins
AwayLysakowski6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvarskyi50%3 of 6
AwayLysakowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvarskyi6Lysakowski4n = 10Skvarskyi took 6 of 10
S2Skvarskyi3Lysakowski7n = 10Lysakowski took 7 of 10
S3Skvarskyi5Lysakowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Skvarskyi3Lysakowski6n = 9Lysakowski took 6 of 9
S5Skvarskyi2Lysakowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvarskyiLysakowskiS − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.440.7−1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvarskyiLysakowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 213 vs 643 / 131569%48.9%147 / 213 vs 643 / 1315Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiSkvarskyi 1.82/Lysakowski 1.88
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.2%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lysakowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi4011117113M. Lysakowski35891171
LSep 9 · 05:30D. Skvarskyi2212460M. Lysakowski361411113
WSep 7 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi5711111410113M. Lysakowski46613121232
WSep 7 · 08:30D. Skvarskyi501111116113M. Lysakowski4013491132
LSep 3 · 06:00D. Skvarskyi20341121M. Lysakowski4111118113
LSep 1 · 08:30D. Skvarskyi46711117102M. Lysakowski50119711123
LJul 17 · 09:00D. Skvarskyi28115931M. Lysakowski4071111113
WApr 13 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi4011711113M. Lysakowski28511661
LApr 13 · 11:00D. Skvarskyi4411129121M. Lysakowski4561411143
LApr 12 · 22:05D. Skvarskyi47111061192M. Lysakowski46412118113
D. Skvarskyi10
WSep 12 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.9811117113M. Lysakowski1.73891171WSep 12 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.50611511113S. Radlo2.3511511582WSep 12 · 09:05D. Skvarskyi1.441312123M. Stepien2.601110100LSep 12 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.71111110992M. Ovcharenko2.00771211113WSep 12 · 05:00D. Skvarskyi1.361411113P. Gola2.9512690WSep 10 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi1.831611113M. Ovcharenko1.8714890WSep 10 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi1.5051114113S. Radlo2.401171231WSep 10 · 10:00S. Wloszek2.35951171D. Skvarskyi1.5011116113WSep 10 · 08:00M. Ovcharenko1.8511311692D. Skvarskyi1.85911811113WSep 10 · 07:00M. Galus2.2513781172D. Skvarskyi1.541111117113
M. Lysakowski10
LSep 12 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi1.9811117113M. Lysakowski1.73891171WSep 12 · 11:05M. Lysakowski2.051111113M. Stepien1.688850WSep 12 · 10:05M. Lysakowski1.7121511143P. Gola2.0019114121WSep 12 · 08:35M. Lysakowski1.5713111211113S. Radlo2.151113101372WSep 12 · 05:30M. Lysakowski2.2511115113M. Ovcharenko1.54841181LSep 11 · 12:30M. Lysakowski—1161281P. Gola—81114113LSep 11 · 11:00M. Lysakowski1.6311111571B. Molka2.0591317113WSep 11 · 09:30M. Lysakowski2.001211113M. Ovcharenko1.7110460LSep 11 · 08:00M. Lysakowski1.73871591D. Stapor1.98111113113WSep 11 · 06:30M. Lysakowski1.781111163P. Gola1.9179140
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