TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119583
Played Sep 12Finished
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611115511115118
Szymon Radlo
Away
2.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:13 and never touched — 64.6% is still 64.6%
Graded at full timeDmytro Skvarskyi to win
64.6%
64.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
611115511115118
H2H Dmytro Skvarskyi 8–5 Szymon Radlo Szymon Radlo has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Skvarskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Skvarskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvarskyi 1773 vs Radlo 1574
Skvarskyi
Correct
both rated, 198 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvarskyi 80% vs Radlo 40%
Skvarskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvarskyi 90% vs Radlo 30%
Skvarskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvarskyi +1 · Radlo +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Skvarskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvarskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvarskyi 1.50 / Radlo 2.35
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13119583
Skvarskyi1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 70 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Radlo2.35
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 181 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back24% 39 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvarskyi6wins
AwayRadlo4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkvarskyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvarskyi80%4 of 5
AwayRadlo60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvarskyi5Radlo5n = 10split evenly
S2Skvarskyi4Radlo6n = 10Radlo took 6 of 10
S3Skvarskyi6Radlo4n = 10Skvarskyi took 6 of 10
S4Skvarskyi5Radlo5n = 10split evenly
S5Skvarskyi3Radlo1n = 4Skvarskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvarskyiRadloS − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.341.7−0.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvarskyiRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 211 vs 369 / 73168.7%50.5%145 / 211 vs 369 / 731Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiSkvarskyi 1.50/Radlo 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.6%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi—51114113S. Radlo—1171231
WSep 7 · 06:30D. Skvarskyi—12118113S. Radlo—1061181
LSep 5 · 12:05D. Skvarskyi—91210111S. Radlo—111012133
WSep 3 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi—13911113S. Radlo—1111971
LSep 3 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi—51111752S. Radlo—118711113
LJul 15 · 13:10D. Skvarskyi—11511101S. Radlo—13119123
WJul 15 · 08:30D. Skvarskyi—116511113S. Radlo—81111762
LApr 14 · 08:00D. Skvarskyi—119291S. Radlo—91111113
WApr 13 · 05:30D. Skvarskyi—113115113S. Radlo—91191182
WApr 9 · 07:00D. Skvarskyi—8111111113S. Radlo—11138432
D. Skvarskyi10
WSep 12 · 09:05D. Skvarskyi1.441312123M. Stepien2.601110100LSep 12 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.71111110992M. Ovcharenko2.00771211113WSep 12 · 05:00D. Skvarskyi1.361411113P. Gola2.9512690WSep 10 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi1.831611113M. Ovcharenko1.8714890WSep 10 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi1.5051114113S. Radlo2.401171231WSep 10 · 10:00S. Wloszek2.35951171D. Skvarskyi1.5011116113WSep 10 · 08:00M. Ovcharenko1.8511311692D. Skvarskyi1.85911811113WSep 10 · 07:00M. Galus2.2513781172D. Skvarskyi1.541111117113WSep 10 · 06:10D. Skvarskyi1.471111113M. Stepien2.509480WSep 9 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi2.5351111133M. Burkacki1.471187111
S. Radlo10
WSep 12 · 09:35S. Radlo2.4311711113M. Ovcharenko1.45411581LSep 12 · 08:35M. Lysakowski1.5713111211113S. Radlo2.151113101372WSep 12 · 06:00S. Radlo2.2511116113M. Stepien1.54981191LSep 10 · 12:40S. Radlo2.308640M. Stepien1.551111113LSep 10 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi1.5051114113S. Radlo2.401171231WSep 10 · 10:30S. Radlo2.291311113M. Stepien1.5111890LSep 10 · 08:30M. Galus1.7414912113S. Radlo1.9512111041LSep 10 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko1.441111113S. Radlo2.506760LSep 10 · 05:50S. Wloszek2.101311113S. Radlo1.6011290LSep 8 · 13:40S. Radlo1.81118231M. Ovcharenko1.9091111113
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