TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119091
Played Sep 12Finished
Szymon Radlo
Home
2.43
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114711115118––
Maksim Ovcharenko
Away
1.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:16 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMaksim Ovcharenko to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
114711115118––
H2H Szymon Radlo 2–3 Maksim Ovcharenko Szymon Radlo has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Ovcharenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Radlo 1567 vs Ovcharenko 1699
Ovcharenko
Wrong
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radlo 40% vs Ovcharenko 60%
Ovcharenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radlo 40% vs Ovcharenko 60%
Ovcharenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Radlo +1 · Ovcharenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Ovcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 2.43 / Ovcharenko 1.45
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Ovcharenko)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13119091
Radlo2.43
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 181 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back24% 39 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 102
Ovcharenko1.45
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 39 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeRadlo2wins
AwayOvcharenko3wins
Ovcharenko leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo66.7%2 of 3
AwayOvcharenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo3Ovcharenko2n = 5Radlo took 3 of 5
S2Radlo2Ovcharenko3n = 5Ovcharenko took 3 of 5
S3Radlo2Ovcharenko3n = 5Ovcharenko took 3 of 5
S4Radlo1Ovcharenko2n = 3Ovcharenko took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricRadloOvcharenkoR − OBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match29.636.0−6.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloOvcharenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 729 vs 116 / 18750.5%62%368 / 729 vs 116 / 187Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvcharenkoRadlo 2.43/Ovcharenko 1.45
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.8%
Ovcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Radlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 10 · 06:30S. Radlo—6760M. Ovcharenko—1111113
LSep 8 · 13:40S. Radlo—118231M. Ovcharenko—91111113
WSep 8 · 05:30S. Radlo—1311113M. Ovcharenko—11880
LSep 4 · 11:00S. Radlo—671151M. Ovcharenko—11116113
WSep 3 · 08:30S. Radlo—12117113M. Ovcharenko—1091191
S. Radlo10
LSep 12 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.50611511113S. Radlo2.3511511582LSep 12 · 08:35M. Lysakowski1.5713111211113S. Radlo2.151113101372WSep 12 · 06:00S. Radlo2.2511116113M. Stepien1.54981191LSep 10 · 12:40S. Radlo2.308640M. Stepien1.551111113LSep 10 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi1.5051114113S. Radlo2.401171231WSep 10 · 10:30S. Radlo2.291311113M. Stepien1.5111890LSep 10 · 08:30M. Galus1.7414912113S. Radlo1.9512111041LSep 10 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko1.441111113S. Radlo2.506760LSep 10 · 05:50S. Wloszek2.101311113S. Radlo1.6011290LSep 8 · 13:40S. Radlo1.81118231M. Ovcharenko1.9091111113
M. Ovcharenko10
WSep 12 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.71111110992M. Ovcharenko2.00771211113LSep 12 · 05:30M. Lysakowski2.2511115113M. Ovcharenko1.54841181WSep 11 · 13:30D. Stapor2.559840M. Ovcharenko1.411111113WSep 11 · 11:30M. Ovcharenko1.661111113M. Galus2.104550LSep 11 · 09:30M. Lysakowski2.001211113M. Ovcharenko1.7110460WSep 11 · 08:30M. Ovcharenko1.341111113P. Gola3.009630WSep 11 · 07:30B. Molka2.6541111692M. Ovcharenko1.43117811113LSep 11 · 06:00M. Ovcharenko1.36111270D. Stapor2.751314113WSep 10 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko1.441111113S. Radlo2.506760WSep 8 · 13:40S. Radlo1.81118231M. Ovcharenko1.9091111113
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