TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119093
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Lysakowski
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311111312101113117
Szymon Radlo
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:18 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Lysakowski to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
112 points played in total.
Set by set
1311111312101113117
H2H Michal Lysakowski 54–46 Szymon Radlo Szymon Radlo has won 46 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:18What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Lysakowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-46 in 100
Lysakowski
Correct
gap of 8 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysakowski 1641 vs Radlo 1567
Lysakowski
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysakowski 40% vs Radlo 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysakowski 50% vs Radlo 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysakowski +1 · Radlo +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Lysakowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysakowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysakowski 1.57 / Radlo 2.15
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Lysakowski)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13119093
Lysakowski1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 191 of 345
Up 2–0, closes it92% 123 of 134
Up 1–0, closes it75% 162 of 216
Radlo2.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 181 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back24% 39 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysakowski6wins
AwayRadlo4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysakowski80%4 of 5
AwayRadlo60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysakowski5Radlo5n = 10split evenly
S2Lysakowski8Radlo2n = 10Lysakowski took 8 of 10
S3Lysakowski6Radlo4n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S4Lysakowski6Radlo2n = 8Lysakowski took 6 of 8
S5Lysakowski1Radlo4n = 5Radlo took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysakowskiRadloL − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.739.9+2.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysakowskiRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime640 / 1311 vs 368 / 72948.8%50.5%640 / 1311 vs 368 / 729Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiLysakowski 1.57/Radlo 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lysakowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 09:30M. Lysakowski—91111123S. Radlo—1148101
WSep 4 · 12:30M. Lysakowski—1111113S. Radlo—6660
LSep 4 · 08:00M. Lysakowski—11771192S. Radlo—911118113
LSep 3 · 10:30M. Lysakowski—71111992S. Radlo—116711113
LAug 31 · 11:30M. Lysakowski—31251192S. Radlo—1110119113
LAug 30 · 20:05M. Lysakowski—99171162S. Radlo—1111158113
WAug 28 · 12:40M. Lysakowski—1212123S. Radlo—1010100
WAug 28 · 09:30M. Lysakowski—13118113S. Radlo—1191161
WAug 25 · 05:00M. Lysakowski—71113113S. Radlo—1151181
WAug 18 · 10:00M. Lysakowski—1111310113S. Radlo—48111272
M. Lysakowski10
WSep 12 · 10:05M. Lysakowski1.7121511143P. Gola2.0019114121WSep 12 · 05:30M. Lysakowski2.2511115113M. Ovcharenko1.54841181LSep 11 · 12:30M. Lysakowski—1161281P. Gola—81114113LSep 11 · 11:00M. Lysakowski1.6311111571B. Molka2.0591317113WSep 11 · 09:30M. Lysakowski2.001211113M. Ovcharenko1.7110460LSep 11 · 08:00M. Lysakowski1.73871591D. Stapor1.98111113113WSep 11 · 06:30M. Lysakowski1.781111163P. Gola1.9179140LSep 11 · 05:00M. Lysakowski1.668590M. Galus2.021111113WSep 9 · 13:10M. Lysakowski1.5813116133D. Stapor2.1411611111LSep 9 · 11:00P. Gola1.8311913123M. Lysakowski1.8781111101
S. Radlo10
LSep 12 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.50611511113S. Radlo2.3511511582WSep 12 · 09:35S. Radlo2.4311711113M. Ovcharenko1.45411581WSep 12 · 06:00S. Radlo2.2511116113M. Stepien1.54981191LSep 10 · 12:40S. Radlo2.308640M. Stepien1.551111113LSep 10 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi1.5051114113S. Radlo2.401171231WSep 10 · 10:30S. Radlo2.291311113M. Stepien1.5111890LSep 10 · 08:30M. Galus1.7414912113S. Radlo1.9512111041LSep 10 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko1.441111113S. Radlo2.506760LSep 10 · 05:50S. Wloszek2.101311113S. Radlo1.6011290LSep 8 · 13:40S. Radlo1.81118231M. Ovcharenko1.9091111113
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