TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119969
Played Sep 12Finished
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Home
1.98
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119711117––
Michal Lysakowski
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Skvarskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
118119711117––
H2H Dmytro Skvarskyi 9–11 Michal Lysakowski Dmytro Skvarskyi has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:03What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Lysakowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-11 in 20
Lysakowski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvarskyi 1778 vs Lysakowski 1672
Skvarskyi
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvarskyi 80% vs Lysakowski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvarskyi 90% vs Lysakowski 60%
Skvarskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvarskyi +2 · Lysakowski +4
Lysakowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skvarskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysakowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvarskyi 1.98 / Lysakowski 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+7.4pp
TT Cup · #13119969
Skvarskyi1.98
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog57% won 8 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back50% 5 of 10
Lysakowski1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 191 of 345
Up 2–0, closes it92% 123 of 134
Up 1–0, closes it75% 162 of 216
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvarskyi3wins
AwayLysakowski7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvarskyi40%2 of 5
AwayLysakowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvarskyi5Lysakowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Skvarskyi2Lysakowski8n = 10Lysakowski took 8 of 10
S3Skvarskyi6Lysakowski4n = 10Skvarskyi took 6 of 10
S4Skvarskyi2Lysakowski7n = 9Lysakowski took 7 of 9
S5Skvarskyi2Lysakowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvarskyiLysakowskiS − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.841.4−2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvarskyiLysakowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 212 vs 643 / 131468.9%48.9%146 / 212 vs 643 / 1314Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiSkvarskyi 1.98/Lysakowski 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 05:30D. Skvarskyi2212460M. Lysakowski361411113
WSep 7 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi5711111410113M. Lysakowski46613121232
WSep 7 · 08:30D. Skvarskyi501111116113M. Lysakowski4013491132
LSep 3 · 06:00D. Skvarskyi20341121M. Lysakowski4111118113
LSep 1 · 08:30D. Skvarskyi46711117102M. Lysakowski50119711123
LJul 17 · 09:00D. Skvarskyi28115931M. Lysakowski4071111113
WApr 13 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi4011711113M. Lysakowski28511661
LApr 13 · 11:00D. Skvarskyi4411129121M. Lysakowski4561411143
LApr 12 · 22:05D. Skvarskyi47111061192M. Lysakowski46412118113
LApr 10 · 08:30D. Skvarskyi346101171M. Lysakowski4211128113
D. Skvarskyi10
LSep 12 · 14:05D. Skvarskyi1.821168101M. Lysakowski1.8881111123WSep 12 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.50611511113S. Radlo2.3511511582WSep 12 · 09:05D. Skvarskyi1.441312123M. Stepien2.601110100LSep 12 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.71111110992M. Ovcharenko2.00771211113WSep 12 · 05:00D. Skvarskyi1.361411113P. Gola2.9512690WSep 10 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi1.831611113M. Ovcharenko1.8714890WSep 10 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi1.5051114113S. Radlo2.401171231WSep 10 · 10:00S. Wloszek2.35951171D. Skvarskyi1.5011116113WSep 10 · 08:00M. Ovcharenko1.8511311692D. Skvarskyi1.85911811113WSep 10 · 07:00M. Galus2.2513781172D. Skvarskyi1.541111117113
M. Lysakowski10
WSep 12 · 14:05D. Skvarskyi1.821168101M. Lysakowski1.8881111123WSep 12 · 11:05M. Lysakowski2.051111113M. Stepien1.688850WSep 12 · 10:05M. Lysakowski1.7121511143P. Gola2.0019114121WSep 12 · 08:35M. Lysakowski1.5713111211113S. Radlo2.151113101372WSep 12 · 05:30M. Lysakowski2.2511115113M. Ovcharenko1.54841181LSep 11 · 12:30M. Lysakowski—1161281P. Gola—81114113LSep 11 · 11:00M. Lysakowski1.6311111571B. Molka2.0591317113WSep 11 · 09:30M. Lysakowski2.001211113M. Ovcharenko1.7110460LSep 11 · 08:00M. Lysakowski1.73871591D. Stapor1.98111113113WSep 11 · 06:30M. Lysakowski1.781111163P. Gola1.9179140
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