TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126509
Played Sep 14Finished
Anton Molochko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
101210121012––––
Nazar Danyliuk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:08 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Nazar Danyliuk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 66 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 54.7%
66 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 156–174 Nazar Danyliuk Anton Molochko has won 156 of their 330 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:08What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Danyliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
156-174 in 330
Danyliuk
Correct
gap of 18 in 330, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molochko 1910 vs Danyliuk 2169
Danyliuk
Correct
both rated, 259 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molochko 40% vs Danyliuk 100%
Danyliuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molochko 20% vs Danyliuk 90%
Danyliuk
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molochko -1 · Danyliuk +5
Danyliuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Danyliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danyliuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 2.00 / Danyliuk 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Danyliuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13126509
Molochko2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 58 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back27% 24 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Danyliuk1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 169 of 269
Up 2–0, closes it95% 83 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it82% 125 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko5wins
AwayDanyliuk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochko60%3 of 5
AwayDanyliuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko5Danyliuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Molochko5Danyliuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Molochko5Danyliuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Molochko5Danyliuk3n = 8Molochko took 5 of 8
S5Molochko1Danyliuk2n = 3Danyliuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoDanyliukM − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.538.0+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoDanyliukBasisWin rate · lifetime542 / 932 vs 595 / 97358.2%61.2%542 / 932 vs 595 / 973Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukMolochko 2.00/Danyliuk 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Danyliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 08:25A. Molochko4451191182N. Danyliuk45116116113
LSep 10 · 17:01A. Molochko202990N. Danyliuk331111113
LSep 10 · 12:25A. Molochko29561171N. Danyliuk3811115113
WSep 8 · 10:35A. Molochko46111014113N. Danyliuk374121291
LSep 7 · 18:05A. Molochko35129591N. Danyliuk43101111113
LSep 7 · 01:38A. Molochko48111181262N. Danyliuk50771114113
WSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko50118811123N. Danyliuk48811118102
WSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko351111133N. Danyliuk2238110
WSep 3 · 15:55A. Molochko3731112113N. Danyliuk311171031
WAug 31 · 18:05A. Molochko4181111113N. Danyliuk33117961
A. Molochko10
LSep 14 · 14:55A. Molochko1.809860D. Zeniuk1.911111113LSep 14 · 11:55A. Molochko1.615460V. Verbyany2.201111113WSep 14 · 01:19V. Verbyany3.256920A. Molochko1.331111113LSep 14 · 24:45A. Molochko2.101253121N. Danyliuk1.67101111143LSep 13 · 23:45A. Molochko1.44811511V. Verbyany2.6311811113WSep 13 · 22:15A. Molochko1.44111110113B. Kohut2.63871281LSep 13 · 21:15A. Molochko1.7385111182D. Zeniuk2.00111155113LSep 11 · 10:25D. Zeniuk2.101111113A. Molochko1.679450LSep 11 · 09:25A. Molochko1.2812771172O. Bondarchuk3.501011116113LSep 11 · 08:25A. Molochko2.0051191182N. Danyliuk1.73116116113
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 14 · 14:25N. Danyliuk1.53111014113V. Verbyany2.389121241WSep 14 · 12:25N. Danyliuk1.25169612113D. Zeniuk3.751411111062WSep 14 · 01:43D. Zeniuk3.7511890N. Danyliuk1.251311113WSep 14 · 24:45A. Molochko2.101253121N. Danyliuk1.67101111143WSep 13 · 23:15N. Danyliuk1.281111113B. Kohut3.508920WSep 13 · 21:45N. Danyliuk1.531211113V. Verbyany2.3810830WSep 13 · 20:15N. Danyliuk1.25124711113D. Zeniuk3.75101111682WSep 11 · 10:55V. Verbyany2.38511119112N. Danyliuk1.53118711133LSep 11 · 09:55B. Kohut3.401112113N. Danyliuk1.3081080WSep 11 · 08:25A. Molochko2.0051191182N. Danyliuk1.73116116113
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