TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13127415
Played Sep 14Finished
Dmytro Zeniuk
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113811911––––
Nazar Danyliuk
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
How it is goingDmytro Zeniuk above · Nazar Danyliuk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 63 set 3, 9-11
63 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Zeniuk 21–70 Nazar Danyliuk Dmytro Zeniuk has won 21 of their 91 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Danyliuk beat Zeniuk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danyliuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 3.75 / Danyliuk 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Danyliuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13127415
Zeniuk3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 38 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back25% 8 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Danyliuk1.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 164 of 264
Up 2–0, closes it95% 80 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it81% 121 of 149
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeniuk2wins
AwayDanyliuk8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeniukn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDanyliuk87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeniuk2Danyliuk8n = 10Danyliuk took 8 of 10
S2Zeniuk2Danyliuk8n = 10Danyliuk took 8 of 10
S3Zeniuk5Danyliuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Zeniuk2Danyliuk3n = 5Danyliuk took 3 of 5
S5Zeniuk1Danyliuk2n = 3Danyliuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZeniukDanyliukZ − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.338.3−6.0per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukDanyliukBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 721 vs 593 / 97150.9%61.1%367 / 721 vs 593 / 971Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukZeniuk 3.75/Danyliuk 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Danyliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 20:15D. Zeniuk46101111682N. Danyliuk45124711113
LSep 11 · 04:25D. Zeniuk2477100N. Danyliuk341111123
LSep 8 · 08:35D. Zeniuk135350N. Danyliuk331111113
WSep 7 · 17:05D. Zeniuk351113113N. Danyliuk1941140
LSep 6 · 20:00D. Zeniuk47136111252N. Danyliuk561511910113
LSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk2248100N. Danyliuk341111123
LSep 4 · 07:25D. Zeniuk32146751N. Danyliuk45121111113
WSep 3 · 14:55D. Zeniuk47851111123N. Danyliuk42111146102
LAug 31 · 16:05D. Zeniuk239680N. Danyliuk331111113
LAug 31 · 24:00D. Zeniuk345811101N. Danyliuk4211118123
D. Zeniuk10
WSep 14 · 24:15B. Kohut1.804111081D. Zeniuk1.9111812113WSep 13 · 22:45V. Verbyany1.611011101172D. Zeniuk2.20126126113WSep 13 · 21:15A. Molochko1.7385111182D. Zeniuk2.00111155113LSep 13 · 20:15N. Danyliuk1.25124711113D. Zeniuk3.75101111682WSep 11 · 10:25D. Zeniuk2.101111113A. Molochko1.679450WSep 11 · 08:55D. Zeniuk2.0011511133V. Verbyany1.733116111LSep 11 · 07:25D. Zeniuk2.00511481O. Bondarchuk1.7311811113LSep 11 · 05:55D. Zeniuk2.209670B. Kohut1.611111113LSep 11 · 04:25D. Zeniuk3.2577100N. Danyliuk1.331111123LSep 8 · 11:05V. Verbyany1.7311711123D. Zeniuk2.008117101
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 14 · 24:45A. Molochko2.101253121N. Danyliuk1.67101111143WSep 13 · 23:15N. Danyliuk1.281111113B. Kohut3.508920WSep 13 · 21:45N. Danyliuk1.531211113V. Verbyany2.3810830WSep 13 · 20:15N. Danyliuk1.25124711113D. Zeniuk3.75101111682WSep 11 · 10:55V. Verbyany2.38511119112N. Danyliuk1.53118711133LSep 11 · 09:55B. Kohut3.401112113N. Danyliuk1.3081080WSep 11 · 08:25A. Molochko2.0051191182N. Danyliuk1.73116116113WSep 11 · 06:25O. Bondarchuk3.754240N. Danyliuk1.251111113WSep 11 · 04:25D. Zeniuk3.2577100N. Danyliuk1.331111123WSep 10 · 17:01N. Danyliuk1.401111113A. Molochko2.752990
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