TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126499
Played Sep 14Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
18201113116119811
Anton Molochko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeAnton Molochko to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Anton Molochko below
Set 1 · 18-20
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 118 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Anton Molochko at 66.1%
118 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 34–91 Anton Molochko Bohdan Kohut has won 34 of their 125 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Molochko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-91 in 125
Molochko
Correct
gap of 57 in 125, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kohut 1910 vs Molochko 1889
Kohut
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kohut 20% vs Molochko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kohut 30% vs Molochko 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kohut -1 · Molochko -3
Molochko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Molochko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molochko form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 2.63 / Molochko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Molochko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13126499
Kohut2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 113 of 306
Down 0–1, comes back18% 30 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 104
Molochko1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 145 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it84% 102 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut3wins
AwayMolochko7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMolochko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut50%3 of 6
AwayMolochko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut6Molochko4n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S2Kohut3Molochko7n = 10Molochko took 7 of 10
S3Kohut1Molochko9n = 10Molochko took 9 of 10
S4Kohut3Molochko5n = 8Molochko took 5 of 8
S5Kohut3Molochko2n = 5Kohut took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutMolochkoK − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.144.5−5.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutMolochkoBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 654 vs 542 / 93444.2%58%289 / 654 vs 542 / 934Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolochkoKohut 2.63/Molochko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Molochko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Molochko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 04:55B. Kohut206770A. Molochko331111113
LSep 10 · 14:25B. Kohut229670A. Molochko331111113
WSep 8 · 07:35B. Kohut53117511193A. Molochko56911118172
LSep 7 · 13:35B. Kohut4411471482A. Molochko516111112113
LAug 30 · 23:00B. Kohut4412117592A. Molochko511081111113
WAug 25 · 10:08B. Kohut521111136113A. Molochko47513111172
LAug 25 · 09:05B. Kohut391511941A. Molochko4617711113
LAug 24 · 15:05B. Kohut341110761A. Molochko4391211113
LAug 23 · 23:00B. Kohut34711791A. Molochko4111811113
WAug 21 · 09:25B. Kohut49128711113A. Molochko44101111482
B. Kohut10
LSep 14 · 15:25B. Kohut3.50841111112N. Danyliuk1.28111174133WSep 14 · 13:55B. Kohut1.731211113D. Zeniuk2.0010690LSep 14 · 12:55B. Kohut2.00111312182V. Verbyany1.733111411113LSep 14 · 24:15B. Kohut1.804111081D. Zeniuk1.9111812113LSep 13 · 23:15N. Danyliuk1.281111113B. Kohut3.508920LSep 13 · 22:15A. Molochko1.44111110113B. Kohut2.63871281LSep 13 · 20:45V. Verbyany1.801112113B. Kohut1.9161060WSep 11 · 11:25O. Bondarchuk2.501412771B. Kohut1.50121411113WSep 11 · 09:55B. Kohut3.401112113N. Danyliuk1.3081080LSep 11 · 07:55V. Verbyany1.80111011133B. Kohut1.916126111
A. Molochko10
LSep 14 · 14:55A. Molochko1.809860D. Zeniuk1.911111113LSep 14 · 13:25A. Molochko2.001010100N. Danyliuk1.731212123LSep 14 · 11:55A. Molochko1.615460V. Verbyany2.201111113WSep 14 · 01:19V. Verbyany3.256920A. Molochko1.331111113LSep 14 · 24:45A. Molochko2.101253121N. Danyliuk1.67101111143LSep 13 · 23:45A. Molochko1.44811511V. Verbyany2.6311811113WSep 13 · 22:15A. Molochko1.44111110113B. Kohut2.63871281LSep 13 · 21:15A. Molochko1.7385111182D. Zeniuk2.00111155113LSep 11 · 10:25D. Zeniuk2.101111113A. Molochko1.679450LSep 11 · 09:25A. Molochko1.2812771172O. Bondarchuk3.501011116113
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