TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126497
Played Sep 14Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210116119––––
Dmytro Zeniuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeBohdan Kohut to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Dmytro Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Bohdan Kohut at 56.5%
59 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 30–19 Dmytro Zeniuk Dmytro Zeniuk has won 19 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:07What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kohut
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-19 in 49
Kohut
Correct
gap of 11 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kohut 1896 vs Zeniuk 2005
Zeniuk
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kohut 0% vs Zeniuk 60%
Zeniuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kohut 30% vs Zeniuk 50%
Zeniuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kohut -5 · Zeniuk -2
Kohut
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zeniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kohut form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 1.73 / Zeniuk 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zeniuk)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13126497
Kohut1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 34 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34
Zeniuk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 41 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut4wins
AwayZeniuk6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZeniuk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut60%3 of 5
AwayZeniuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kohut5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Kohut5Zeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Kohut1Zeniuk5n = 6Zeniuk took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutZeniukK − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.937.9−3.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 652 vs 367 / 72344.2%50.8%288 / 652 vs 367 / 723Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeniukKohut 1.73/Zeniuk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 24:15B. Kohut334111081D. Zeniuk4211812113
WSep 11 · 05:55B. Kohut331111113D. Zeniuk229670
LSep 8 · 06:35B. Kohut30117571D. Zeniuk4071111113
LSep 7 · 19:05B. Kohut25571121D. Zeniuk3811115113
LAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut2696110D. Zeniuk351111133
LAug 25 · 05:35B. Kohut47121111582D. Zeniuk521071311113
WAug 24 · 14:05B. Kohut4231311153D. Zeniuk4311118131
WAug 21 · 06:25B. Kohut331111113D. Zeniuk239860
WAug 20 · 16:25B. Kohut51118129113D. Zeniuk47911101162
LAug 19 · 21:00B. Kohut29111170D. Zeniuk371313113
B. Kohut10
LSep 14 · 12:55B. Kohut2.00111312182V. Verbyany1.733111411113LSep 14 · 24:15B. Kohut1.804111081D. Zeniuk1.9111812113LSep 13 · 23:15N. Danyliuk1.281111113B. Kohut3.508920LSep 13 · 22:15A. Molochko1.44111110113B. Kohut2.63871281LSep 13 · 20:45V. Verbyany1.801112113B. Kohut1.9161060WSep 11 · 11:25O. Bondarchuk2.501412771B. Kohut1.50121411113WSep 11 · 09:55B. Kohut3.401112113N. Danyliuk1.3081080LSep 11 · 07:55V. Verbyany1.80111011133B. Kohut1.916126111WSep 11 · 05:55D. Zeniuk2.209670B. Kohut1.611111113LSep 11 · 04:55A. Molochko1.501111113B. Kohut2.506770
D. Zeniuk10
WSep 14 · 14:55A. Molochko1.809860D. Zeniuk1.911111113LSep 14 · 12:25N. Danyliuk1.25169612113D. Zeniuk3.751411111062LSep 14 · 01:43D. Zeniuk3.7511890N. Danyliuk1.251311113WSep 14 · 24:15B. Kohut1.804111081D. Zeniuk1.9111812113WSep 13 · 22:45V. Verbyany1.611011101172D. Zeniuk2.20126126113WSep 13 · 21:15A. Molochko1.7385111182D. Zeniuk2.00111155113LSep 13 · 20:15N. Danyliuk1.25124711113D. Zeniuk3.75101111682WSep 11 · 10:25D. Zeniuk2.101111113A. Molochko1.679450WSep 11 · 08:55D. Zeniuk2.0011511133V. Verbyany1.733116111LSep 11 · 05:55D. Zeniuk2.209670B. Kohut1.611111113
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