TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126193
Played Sep 14Finished
Radek Adamczyk
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311117112––––
Tomas Navrat
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Navrat to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Adamczyk above · Tomas Navrat below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 55 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Tomas Navrat at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Radek Adamczyk 2–1 Tomas Navrat Tomas Navrat has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:32What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Navrat
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1341 vs Navrat 1233
Adamczyk
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 80% vs Navrat 60%
Adamczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 60% vs Navrat 40%
Adamczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk +2 · Navrat +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 1.83 / Navrat 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adamczyk)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126193
Adamczyk1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Navrat1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAdamczyk2wins
AwayNavrat1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderAdamczyk leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamczyk2Navrat1n = 3Adamczyk took 2 of 3
S2Adamczyk2Navrat1n = 3Adamczyk took 2 of 3
S3Adamczyk2Navrat1n = 3Adamczyk took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricAdamczykNavratA − NBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.339.3+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykNavratBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 87 vs 24 / 6351.7%38.1%45 / 87 vs 24 / 63Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykAdamczyk 1.83/Navrat 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 14 · 20:00R. Adamczyk351311113T. Navrat2011720
WJul 3 · 21:30R. Adamczyk49911135113T. Navrat51119111192
LJul 3 · 19:00R. Adamczyk40168791T. Navrat47141111113
R. Adamczyk10
WSep 14 · 19:30M. Blaha2.00611111162R. Adamczyk1.73111388113WSep 14 · 18:00R. Adamczyk1.401111113A. Kanak2.756470LSep 12 · 17:30R. Adamczyk1.50139118102Z. Luksa2.501111711123WSep 12 · 16:00M. Blaha1.8091080R. Adamczyk1.911112113WSep 12 · 15:00I. Kolenciak3.40691161R. Adamczyk1.3011116113WSep 12 · 14:30R. Adamczyk1.671111113Z. Luksa2.108980LAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Adamczyk2.00116711113M. Blaha1.7371111792LAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113LAug 22 · 18:00D. Tyn1.501111113R. Adamczyk2.504350
T. Navrat10
WSep 14 · 19:00A. Kanak1.6710990T. Navrat2.101211113WSep 14 · 18:30T. Navrat1.53713811113M. Blaha2.38111111882LAug 20 · 21:14M. Derco2.0281111113T. Navrat1.70118461LAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661WAug 20 · 19:00M. Derco1.83118121192T. Navrat1.831311106113LAug 20 · 18:30T. Navrat1.36113581M. Blaha3.0091111113LJul 17 · 21:05V. Rybar1.441111113T. Navrat2.638490LJul 17 · 20:00V. Rybar2.0091111113T. Navrat1.73119661WJul 17 · 19:00V. Kocian1.67119911102T. Navrat2.10911119123LJul 17 · 18:30T. Navrat2.10611111082P. Banot1.67119912113
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