TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13125557
Played Sep 14Finished
Irvin Bertrand
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012115115811118
Enio Mendes
Away
5.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeIrvin Bertrand to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIrvin Bertrand above · Enio Mendes below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Irvin Bertrand at 75.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Irvin Bertrand 1–0 Enio Mendes Enio Mendes has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Bertrand
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bertrand 2262 vs Mendes 1841
Bertrand
Correct
both rated, 421 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bertrand 80% vs Mendes 60%
Bertrand
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertrand 90% vs Mendes 70%
Bertrand
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertrand +1 · Mendes -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Bertrand) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mendes form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertrand 1.14 / Mendes 5.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Bertrand)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13125557
Bertrand1.14
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite97% won 62 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it100% 50 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it100% 51 of 51
Mendes5.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBertrand1wins
AwayMendes0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBertrand leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBertrandMendesB − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match51.041.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBertrandMendesBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 103 vs 40 / 5595.2%72.7%98 / 103 vs 40 / 55Avg sets wonper match2.92.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BertrandBertrand 1.14/Mendes 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.4%
Bertrand · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bertrand won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 14 · 13:30I. Bertrand511011118113E. Mendes4112551182
I. Bertrand10
WSep 14 · 11:30I. Bertrand1.1881111113T. Saltzer4.15113271LSep 14 · 10:00I. Bertrand1.409760Y. Su2.751111113WSep 14 · 08:00J. Loffler2.5511126952I. Bertrand1.428101111113WJul 17 · 10:59I. Bertrand1.1411116113M. Danzer5.00151171WJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340WJul 17 · 07:30D. Zech10.50661161I. Bertrand1.0211118113WJul 16 · 17:30I. Bertrand—1111113M. Stefanidis—9240WJul 16 · 16:00S. Happek10.505370I. Bertrand1.021111113WJul 16 · 14:00M. Danzer4.5049120I. Bertrand1.171111143WJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100
E. Mendes10
LSep 14 · 12:00J. Loffler3.65511711143E. Mendes1.22117118122LSep 14 · 09:00S. Happek8.5011611113E. Mendes1.05711691WSep 14 · 07:00S. Almeida2.10145391E. Mendes1.65121111113WJul 7 · 11:00D. Rinderer1.67119151152E. Mendes2.10711177113WJul 7 · 09:45T. Saltzer3.855116101E. Mendes1.2011711123WJul 7 · 08:30L. Kraus6.5076100E. Mendes1.101111123LJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:30E. Mendes1.6711811113K. Fadeev2.10711821WJul 6 · 13:00E. Mendes—1111113T. Saltzer—4470WJul 6 · 11:30S. Happek7.005580E. Mendes1.081111113
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