TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125308
Played Sep 14Finished
Karol Strowski
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811311––––
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Wloczko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarol Strowski above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 49 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Krzysztof Wloczko at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Karol Strowski 31–37 Krzysztof Wloczko Karol Strowski has won 31 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:02What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wloczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-37 in 68
Wloczko
Correct
gap of 6 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strowski 1793 vs Wloczko 1877
Wloczko
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strowski 60% vs Wloczko 40%
Strowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strowski 60% vs Wloczko 40%
Strowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strowski +1 · Wloczko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wloczko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrowski 1.91 / Wloczko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wloczko)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13125308
Strowski1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 74 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back28% 31 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Wloczko1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 206 of 331
Up 2–0, closes it97% 87 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it79% 159 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrowski4wins
AwayWloczko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWloczko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrowski100%3 of 3
AwayWloczko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strowski3Wloczko7n = 10Wloczko took 7 of 10
S2Strowski5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Strowski3Wloczko7n = 10Wloczko took 7 of 10
S4Strowski3Wloczko5n = 8Wloczko took 5 of 8
S5Strowski3Wloczko1n = 4Strowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrowskiWloczkoS − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.441.8−1.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrowskiWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime811 / 1389 vs 947 / 181058.4%52.3%811 / 1389 vs 947 / 1810Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WloczkoStrowski 1.91/Wloczko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wloczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 27 · 09:00K. Strowski48116911113K. Wloczko4471111872
LJun 24 · 10:50K. Strowski49131191152K. Wloczko49155117113
LJun 23 · 13:20K. Strowski34711791K. Wloczko4211911113
WJun 17 · 11:45K. Strowski4011612113K. Wloczko368111071
LMay 28 · 11:55K. Strowski38911991K. Wloczko3911611113
WMay 26 · 11:05K. Strowski531111118123K. Wloczko52913911102
LMay 25 · 11:55K. Strowski239860K. Wloczko331111113
LMay 19 · 10:20K. Strowski248880K. Wloczko331111113
WMay 14 · 11:55K. Strowski559111113113K. Wloczko4811671592
LMay 7 · 13:10K. Strowski409118121K. Wloczko4211611143
K. Strowski10
WSep 14 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.40811991K. Strowski2.7511811113LSep 14 · 04:55A. Wiecek1.53911116113K. Strowski2.3811691182WSep 14 · 03:25T. Spanik1.6191181182K. Strowski2.20115115113WSep 11 · 21:00K. Strowski1.33116811113J. Mitas3.2571111552LSep 11 · 19:40K. Strowski1.4081111782M. Marchlewski2.75118811113LSep 11 · 18:30K. Strowski1.8311591132M. Nowalinski1.83611119113WSep 11 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.50881141K. Strowski1.5011115113WSep 11 · 16:30K. Strowski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008780LSep 11 · 15:45K. Strowski1.91671141K. Wloczko1.8011117113WSep 11 · 14:10K. Strowski2.7511112113M. Jadczyk1.40961181
K. Wloczko10
LSep 14 · 05:15T. Spanik1.6791111113K. Wloczko2.10114821LSep 14 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.441111113K. Wloczko2.639370WSep 14 · 03:00K. Petas1.7391191172K. Wloczko2.00119119113WSep 11 · 15:45K. Strowski1.91671141K. Wloczko1.8011117113LSep 11 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.251311661K. Kolodziej1.5715811113WSep 11 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.4491111862K. Wloczko2.63119911113LSep 11 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.677111411113K. Wloczko2.1011416562LSep 11 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz1.911191110143K. Wloczko1.80811612122LSep 11 · 08:05K. Wloczko2.00139110J. Kuzmicz1.731511133WSep 11 · 06:30G. Poliniewicz2.7571112121K. Wloczko1.4011814143
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