TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125191
Played Sep 13Finished
Mateusz Szymanski
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811411911––––
Adam Duch
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
811411911––––
H2H Mateusz Szymanski 18–21 Adam Duch Mateusz Szymanski has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 9h before this match
Szymanski beat Duch 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Duch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Duch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 2.20 / Duch 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Duch)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13125191
Szymanski2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 27 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back27% 10 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Duch1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 121 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it77% 85 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzymanski5wins
AwayDuch5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanski100%3 of 3
AwayDuch71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski3Duch7n = 10Duch took 7 of 10
S2Szymanski7Duch3n = 10Szymanski took 7 of 10
S3Szymanski5Duch5n = 10split evenly
S4Szymanski5Duch3n = 8Szymanski took 5 of 8
S5Szymanski3Duch4n = 7Duch took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzymanskiDuchS − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.041.5+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiDuchBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 273 vs 455 / 76254.6%59.7%149 / 273 vs 455 / 762Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchSzymanski 2.20/Duch 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.3%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Duch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:05M. Szymanski371511113A. Duch2813690
LSep 12 · 16:35M. Szymanski50911111272A. Duch50117714113
LSep 11 · 21:00M. Szymanski4141311582A. Duch471111311113
LSep 6 · 11:35M. Szymanski4248121172A. Duch491111106113
LSep 5 · 22:05M. Szymanski237880A. Duch331111113
WSep 4 · 17:00M. Szymanski41111135113A. Duch3949111142
WAug 1 · 06:35M. Szymanski501011711113A. Duch3912411662
WJul 31 · 18:00M. Szymanski4311118133A. Duch369511111
LJul 18 · 23:05M. Szymanski44310111192A. Duch48111286113
WJul 18 · 15:35M. Szymanski49911511133A. Duch46117116112
M. Szymanski10
WSep 13 · 12:35D. Bucko1.869111361M. Szymanski1.83111311113WSep 13 · 11:35K. Zapala2.257360M. Szymanski1.571111113WSep 13 · 10:05B. Bartosz2.20131051162M. Szymanski1.601112117113WSep 13 · 07:35K. Guzy1.706890M. Szymanski2.051111113WSep 13 · 06:05A. Duch1.9013690M. Szymanski1.801511113WSep 12 · 20:15M. Szymanski2.05113117113K. Guzy1.6841161142WSep 12 · 19:05K. Zapala2.101178101M. Szymanski1.6081111123WSep 12 · 18:35M. Szymanski2.101111113K. Guzy1.607870LSep 12 · 16:35M. Szymanski1.83911111272A. Duch1.81117714113LSep 12 · 15:05M. Szymanski1.48155661B. Bartosz2.36131111113
A. Duch10
WSep 13 · 12:05A. Duch1.3411119113B. Bartosz3.00571151WSep 13 · 10:35A. Duch1.661111113D. Bucko2.056870WSep 13 · 09:05A. Duch1.711111113K. Guzy2.003790WSep 13 · 07:05A. Duch1.34111210113K. Zapala2.858101291LSep 13 · 06:05A. Duch1.9013690M. Szymanski1.801511113WSep 12 · 20:45B. Bartosz2.759870A. Duch1.401111113LSep 12 · 18:05K. Zapala2.8011614113A. Duch1.365111291LSep 12 · 17:35A. Duch1.3810812131B. Bartosz2.85121110153WSep 12 · 16:35M. Szymanski1.83911111272A. Duch1.81117714113WSep 12 · 15:35A. Duch1.831111113K. Guzy1.809650
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