TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124172
Played Sep 13Finished
Frantisek Trojan
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
51111131151113––
Martin Bohac
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:59 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Bohac to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Trojan above · Martin Bohac below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 80 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Martin Bohac at 55.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Trojan 2–1 Martin Bohac Martin Bohac has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Trojan beat Bohac 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:59What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Trojan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trojan 1318 vs Bohac 1279
Trojan
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trojan 20% vs Bohac 40%
Bohac
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trojan 50% vs Bohac 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Trojan -2 · Bohac +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Trojan) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trojan form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrojan 1.60 / Bohac 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Trojan)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124172
Trojan1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 9 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it63% 5 of 8
Bohac2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 5 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTrojan2wins
AwayBohac1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderTrojan leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trojan2Bohac1n = 3Trojan took 2 of 3
S2Trojan2Bohac1n = 3Trojan took 2 of 3
S3Trojan2Bohac1n = 3Trojan took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricTrojanBohacT − BBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.035.7+5.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrojanBohacBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 214 vs 69 / 13850.5%50%108 / 214 vs 69 / 138Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrojanTrojan 1.60/Bohac 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Trojan · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bohac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 13 · 09:00F. Trojan3851111111M. Bohac4211135133
WSep 13 · 06:30F. Trojan341112113M. Bohac2231090
WSep 21 · 08:00F. Trojan511111711113M. Bohac4346111392
F. Trojan10
LSep 13 · 08:00M. Barta1.441111113F. Trojan2.635950LSep 13 · 07:00J. Svec2.75611314113F. Trojan1.40119111252WSep 13 · 06:30F. Trojan1.671112113M. Bohac2.1031090LJul 26 · 13:30M. Barta1.601211113F. Trojan2.2110820LJul 26 · 12:00F. Trojan2.0010980M. Barta1.731211113WJul 26 · 11:30M. Syroha2.1011811172F. Trojan1.67511115113WJul 26 · 10:00F. Trojan1.8391111113L. Havel1.83116141WJul 25 · 20:58F. Trojan1.25111110113J. Grohsgott3.75571271WJul 25 · 20:30J. Grohsgott3.75311681F. Trojan1.2511911113LJul 25 · 19:30F. Trojan2.0051131162J. Didi1.73119116113
M. Bohac10
WSep 13 · 08:30J. Svec1.8081170M. Bohac1.911113113LSep 13 · 07:30M. Bohac2.635121161M. Barta1.4411147113LSep 13 · 06:30F. Trojan1.671112113M. Bohac2.1031090LAug 21 · 13:30M. Bohac1.738860M. Chalupnicek2.001111113WAug 21 · 12:00M. Bohac2.1061111113M. Chalupnicek1.67119891WAug 21 · 11:30J. Grohsgott3.007121161M. Bohac1.3611147113LAug 21 · 10:00M. Bohac1.5767111192M. Lubas2.25111156113WAug 19 · 09:03L. Havel1.36971171M. Bohac3.0011118113WAug 19 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.5381191252M. Bohac2.381191110113LAug 19 · 07:30M. Bohac2.758580L. Havel1.401111113
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