TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13120314
Played Sep 12Finished
Maksim Ovcharenko
Home
1.55
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117114711113––
Szymon Radlo
Away
2.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
117114711113––
H2H Maksim Ovcharenko 3–3 Szymon Radlo Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Radlo beat Ovcharenko 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Ovcharenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvcharenko 1.55 / Radlo 2.30
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Ovcharenko)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13120314
Ovcharenko1.55
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 39 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Radlo2.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 181 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back24% 39 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeOvcharenko3wins
AwayRadlo3wins
Level at 3–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvcharenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayRadlo75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovcharenko2Radlo4n = 6Radlo took 4 of 6
S2Ovcharenko4Radlo2n = 6Ovcharenko took 4 of 6
S3Ovcharenko3Radlo3n = 6split evenly
S4Ovcharenko2Radlo2n = 4split evenly
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricOvcharenkoRadloO − RBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match34.731.3+3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvcharenkoRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 190 vs 369 / 73362.1%50.3%118 / 190 vs 369 / 733Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvcharenkoOvcharenko 1.55/Radlo 2.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Ovcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ovcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 12 · 09:35M. Ovcharenko28411581S. Radlo4011711113
WSep 10 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko331111113S. Radlo196760
WSep 8 · 13:40M. Ovcharenko4291111113S. Radlo24118231
LSep 8 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko2711880S. Radlo351311113
WSep 4 · 11:00M. Ovcharenko3911116113S. Radlo29671151
LSep 3 · 08:30M. Ovcharenko391091191S. Radlo4112117113
M. Ovcharenko10
WSep 12 · 13:05M. Stepien2.158760M. Ovcharenko1.581111113WSep 12 · 11:35M. Ovcharenko1.321111113P. Gola3.108520LSep 12 · 09:35S. Radlo2.4311711113M. Ovcharenko1.45411581WSep 12 · 07:35D. Skvarskyi1.71111110992M. Ovcharenko2.00771211113LSep 12 · 05:30M. Lysakowski2.2511115113M. Ovcharenko1.54841181WSep 11 · 13:30D. Stapor2.559840M. Ovcharenko1.411111113WSep 11 · 11:30M. Ovcharenko1.661111113M. Galus2.104550LSep 11 · 09:30M. Lysakowski2.001211113M. Ovcharenko1.7110460WSep 11 · 08:30M. Ovcharenko1.341111113P. Gola3.009630WSep 11 · 07:30B. Molka2.6541111692M. Ovcharenko1.43117811113
S. Radlo10
LSep 12 · 12:35S. Radlo1.6951190P. Gola1.971113113LSep 12 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.50611511113S. Radlo2.3511511582WSep 12 · 09:35S. Radlo2.4311711113M. Ovcharenko1.45411581LSep 12 · 08:35M. Lysakowski1.5713111211113S. Radlo2.151113101372WSep 12 · 06:00S. Radlo2.2511116113M. Stepien1.54981191LSep 10 · 12:40S. Radlo2.308640M. Stepien1.551111113LSep 10 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi1.5051114113S. Radlo2.401171231WSep 10 · 10:30S. Radlo2.291311113M. Stepien1.5111890LSep 10 · 08:30M. Galus1.7414912113S. Radlo1.9512111041LSep 10 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko1.441111113S. Radlo2.506760
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