TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082620
Played Sep 5Finished
Marcin Lach
Home
1.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711117611811––
Jakub Jesiek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:02 and never touched — 67.2% is still 67.2%
Graded at full timeMarcin Lach to win
67.2%
67.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
711117611811––
H2H Marcin Lach 4–0 Jakub Jesiek Jakub Jesiek has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Lach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Lach
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lach 1426 vs Jesiek 1330
Lach
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lach 60% vs Jesiek 20%
Lach
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lach 60% vs Jesiek 40%
Lach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lach +1 · Jesiek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Lach) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jesiek form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLach 1.45 / Jesiek 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Lach)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13082620
Lach1.45
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 104 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it98% 61 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it80% 75 of 94
Jesiek2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 70 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeLach4wins
AwayJesiek0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLach leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLach100%3 of 3
AwayJesiekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lach3Jesiek1n = 4Lach took 3 of 4
S2Lach3Jesiek1n = 4Lach took 3 of 4
S3Lach3Jesiek1n = 4Lach took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricLachJesiekL − JBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.226.5+13.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLachJesiekBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 203 vs 268 / 51063.6%52.6%129 / 203 vs 268 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LachLach 1.45/Jesiek 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Lach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jesiek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 1 · 16:40M. Lach—61111133J. Jesiek—1126111
WAug 1 · 10:40M. Lach—1161013113J. Jesiek—311121192
WJul 11 · 10:35M. Lach—1411113J. Jesiek—12440
WJul 11 · 03:00M. Lach—1111113J. Jesiek—1720
M. Lach10
LSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113WSep 6 · 15:05M. Lach1.65131112113R. Wojcik2.101161471WSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.75781181M. Lach1.9511118113LSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113LSep 6 · 10:20M. Lach1.95811971K. Slawinski1.7011811113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Lach1.6311139113R. Wojcik2.108111111WSep 6 · 07:55M. Lach1.7111712123W. Wojtaszczyk2.0061110101WSep 6 · 06:45R. Piechnik2.5510111161M. Lach1.4612913113LSep 6 · 05:55M. Lach—1012841M. Oracz—121011113
J. Jesiek10
WSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113LSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882LSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581WSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123LSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113LSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670WSep 6 · 05:15Z. Sobkow1.4481190J. Jesiek2.631113113LSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281WSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113
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