TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077207
Played Sep 5Finished
Patryk Jedrzejak
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118115––––
Grzegorz Sawicki
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:00 and never touched — 77.1% is still 77.1%
Graded at full timePatryk Jedrzejak to win
77.1%
77.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatryk Jedrzejak above · Grzegorz Sawicki below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 50 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Patryk Jedrzejak at 77.1%
50 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jedrzejak 16–4 Grzegorz Sawicki Grzegorz Sawicki has won 4 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Jedrzejak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-4 in 20
Jedrzejak
Correct
gap of 12 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jedrzejak 1446 vs Sawicki 1245
Jedrzejak
Correct
both rated, 201 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jedrzejak 80% vs Sawicki 40%
Jedrzejak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jedrzejak 80% vs Sawicki 60%
Jedrzejak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jedrzejak -1 · Sawicki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Jedrzejak) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sawicki form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJedrzejak 1.17 / Sawicki 4.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Jedrzejak)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13077207
Jedrzejak1.17
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite72% won 175 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it97% 103 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it85% 135 of 158
Sawicki4.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 126 of 382
Down 0–1, comes back19% 48 of 253
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 162
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJedrzejak7wins
AwaySawicki3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJedrzejak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJedrzejak75%6 of 8
AwaySawickin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jedrzejak8Sawicki2n = 10Jedrzejak took 8 of 10
S2Jedrzejak7Sawicki3n = 10Jedrzejak took 7 of 10
S3Jedrzejak6Sawicki4n = 10Jedrzejak took 6 of 10
S4Jedrzejak2Sawicki4n = 6Sawicki took 4 of 6
S5Jedrzejak2Sawicki1n = 3Jedrzejak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJedrzejakSawickiJ − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.032.3+7.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJedrzejakSawickiBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 537 vs 353 / 89067.6%39.7%363 / 537 vs 353 / 890Avg sets wonper match2.41.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejakJedrzejak 1.17/Sawicki 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.4%
Jedrzejak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jedrzejak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 06:55P. Jedrzejak—1111113G. Sawicki—4850
WAug 15 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak—1111113G. Sawicki—8360
WAug 15 · 07:55P. Jedrzejak—111199113G. Sawicki—63111162
LJul 11 · 14:45P. Jedrzejak—119861G. Sawicki—61111113
LJul 11 · 11:05P. Jedrzejak—11491182G. Sawicki—811117113
WJul 4 · 03:00P. Jedrzejak—81111113G. Sawicki—117851
LSep 6 · 13:55P. Jedrzejak—81411111G. Sawicki—11163133
WSep 6 · 07:55P. Jedrzejak—1211113G. Sawicki—10780
WJun 22 · 01:30P. Jedrzejak—1113118113G. Sawicki—911131182
WJun 21 · 19:30P. Jedrzejak—1111113G. Sawicki—6260
P. Jedrzejak10
LSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113WSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661LSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113LSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113WSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970WSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940
G. Sawicki10
LSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113LSep 6 · 18:45G. Sawicki1.605119131R. Ogon2.1011411153LSep 6 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.60531361S. Krupa1.41111111113WSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113WSep 6 · 15:35G. Sawicki2.001111125133W. Jozala1.71781411112LSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113LSep 6 · 06:45G. Sawicki2.75116471K. Juszczyk1.3781111113WSep 6 · 05:35G. Sawicki3.9511711113K. Hetnar1.20711861WSep 6 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.30481191G. Sawicki3.1011119113WSep 6 · 03:35G. Sawicki2.5011614133P. Slosarczyk1.4441112111
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