TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031345
Played Aug 28Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
91112101161311––
Artem Zozulia
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–5Last 9Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtem Zozulia to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Artem Zozulia below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 83 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Artem Zozulia at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 2–1 Artem Zozulia Artem Zozulia has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:12What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zozulia
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1646 vs Zozulia 1554
Derevianko
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 80% vs Zozulia 20%
Derevianko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 50% vs Zozulia 44%
—
Too close
6pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko +4 · Zozulia -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Derevianko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zozulia form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 1.83 / Zozulia 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Derevianko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13031345
Derevianko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Zozulia1.83
44%won 4 of 9 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest22%takes the first set · 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDerevianko2wins
AwayZozulia1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderDerevianko leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko1Zozulia2n = 3Zozulia took 2 of 3
S2Derevianko1Zozulia2n = 3Zozulia took 2 of 3
S3Derevianko2Zozulia1n = 3Derevianko took 2 of 3
S4Derevianko2Zozulia1n = 3Derevianko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricDereviankoZozuliaD − ZBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match45.739.7+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoZozuliaBasisWin rate · lifetime458 / 970 vs 5 / 1347.2%38.5%458 / 970 vs 5 / 13Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.834.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DereviankoDerevianko 1.83/Zozulia 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Derevianko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 28 · 06:20A. Derevianko—91211133A. Zozulia—11106111
WAug 27 · 13:30A. Derevianko—1191312113A. Zozulia—011151072
LAug 25 · 09:18A. Derevianko—1091161A. Zozulia—12114113
A. Derevianko10
WSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481WSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492WSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113WSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991LSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113
A. Zozulia10
WAug 28 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8371181182A. Zozulia1.83116114113LAug 28 · 09:20Y. Riadynskyi2.1091111113A. Zozulia1.67112691LAug 28 · 07:20V. Savoliuk1.671111113A. Zozulia2.107570LAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:30A. Zozulia1.53561181O. Strutinskiy2.3811118113LAug 27 · 15:30V. Maksuta2.001111133A. Zozulia1.7376110LAug 27 · 13:30A. Derevianko2.251191312113A. Zozulia1.57011151072WAug 27 · 12:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.638560A. Zozulia1.441111113WAug 25 · 12:49E. Hrytsenko1.9111129962A. Zozulia1.809101111113WAug 25 · 11:18A. Zozulia2.0091111113O. Strutinskiy1.73119761
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.