TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023161
Played Aug 27Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11091113151210117
Artem Zozulia
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–1Last 5Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeArtem Zozulia to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Artem Zozulia below
Set 1 · 11-0
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 99 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Artem Zozulia at 58.9%
99 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 0–1 Artem Zozulia Andrii Derevianko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zozulia
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1627 vs Zozulia 1868
Zozulia
Wrong
both rated, 241 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 20% vs Zozulia 80%
Zozulia
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 20% vs Zozulia 80%
Zozulia
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko -1 · Zozulia +4
Zozulia
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zozulia)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zozulia form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 2.25 / Zozulia 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Zozulia)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13023161
Derevianko2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 124 of 319
Down 0–1, comes back22% 41 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 100
Zozulia1.57
80%won 4 of 5 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 2 of 5
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDerevianko0wins
AwayZozulia1wins
Zozulia leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDereviankoZozuliaD − ZBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match36.038.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoZozuliaBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 966 vs 4 / 547%80%454 / 966 vs 4 / 5Avg sets wonper match1.92.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZozuliaDerevianko 2.25/Zozulia 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Zozulia · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 25 · 09:18A. Derevianko—1091161A. Zozulia—12114113
A. Derevianko10
WSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481WSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492WSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113WSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991LSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113
A. Zozulia10
WAug 28 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8371181182A. Zozulia1.83116114113LAug 28 · 09:20Y. Riadynskyi2.1091111113A. Zozulia1.67112691LAug 28 · 07:20V. Savoliuk1.671111113A. Zozulia2.107570LAug 28 · 06:20A. Derevianko1.8391211133A. Zozulia1.8311106111LAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:30A. Zozulia1.53561181O. Strutinskiy2.3811118113LAug 27 · 15:30V. Maksuta2.001111133A. Zozulia1.7376110WAug 27 · 12:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.638560A. Zozulia1.441111113WAug 25 · 12:49E. Hrytsenko1.9111129962A. Zozulia1.809101111113WAug 25 · 11:18A. Zozulia2.0091111113O. Strutinskiy1.73119761
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