TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Leymanovsky vs Andrii Hrabskyi 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Aug 19Finished
Yurii Leymanovsky
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12101169117111513
Andrii Hrabskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeYurii Leymanovsky to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Leymanovsky above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 105 set 5, 15-13 — our read held Yurii Leymanovsky at 60.7%
105 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Leymanovsky 5–3 Andrii Hrabskyi Andrii Hrabskyi has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:40What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Leymanovsky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Leymanovsky
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Leymanovsky 1719 vs Hrabskyi 1649
Leymanovsky
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leymanovsky 80% vs Hrabskyi 40%
Leymanovsky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leymanovsky 70% vs Hrabskyi 40%
Leymanovsky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Leymanovsky -1 · Hrabskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Leymanovsky) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Leymanovsky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeymanovsky 1.61 / Hrabskyi 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Leymanovsky)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12456664
Leymanovsky1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 20 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Hrabskyi2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 115 of 276
Down 0–1, comes back26% 41 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeLeymanovsky5wins
AwayHrabskyi3wins
5 of 8 to a deciderLeymanovsky leads 5–3, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeymanovsky80%4 of 5
AwayHrabskyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leymanovsky5Hrabskyi3n = 8Leymanovsky took 5 of 8
S2Leymanovsky6Hrabskyi2n = 8Leymanovsky took 6 of 8
S3Leymanovsky3Hrabskyi5n = 8Hrabskyi took 5 of 8
S4Leymanovsky2Hrabskyi4n = 6Hrabskyi took 4 of 6
S5Leymanovsky3Hrabskyi2n = 5Leymanovsky took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricLeymanovskyHrabskyiL − HBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match43.041.5+1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeymanovskyHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 69 vs 202 / 46159.4%43.8%41 / 69 vs 202 / 461Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeymanovskyLeymanovsky 1.61/Hrabskyi 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Leymanovsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Leymanovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 19 · 07:20Y. Leymanovsky54121197153A. Hrabskyi511061111132
WJul 29 · 09:50Y. Leymanovsky46111112123A. Hrabskyi396914101
LJul 8 · 05:50Y. Leymanovsky4561111892A. Hrabskyi49119711113
WJul 1 · 12:20Y. Leymanovsky45113119113A. Hrabskyi4591151192
LJun 10 · 08:50Y. Leymanovsky249960A. Hrabskyi331111113
WJun 3 · 05:50Y. Leymanovsky331111113A. Hrabskyi226880
WMay 20 · 10:50Y. Leymanovsky48711711123A. Hrabskyi47119116102
LJan 28 · 09:20Y. Leymanovsky49111198102A. Hrabskyi46751111123
Y. Leymanovsky10
LAug 19 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8091361172V. Chornobab1.911111119113WAug 19 · 10:20Y. Leymanovsky1.73111339153A. Lievshin2.005111111132WAug 19 · 08:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8011912113A. Yurkov1.915111061LAug 19 · 05:50Y. Leymanovsky1.7310980O. Seliuchenko2.001211113WJul 29 · 11:50M. Zinov2.63613111172Y. Leymanovsky1.441111135113WJul 29 · 10:50Y. Leymanovsky1.671411113V. Marushchak2.1012790WJul 29 · 09:50Y. Leymanovsky1.67111112123A. Hrabskyi2.106914101WJul 29 · 08:20Y. Leymanovsky1.571113113V. Mishchenko2.2541130WJul 29 · 06:20Y. Leymanovsky1.731181112143A. Yurkov2.00911214122WJul 22 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.36101111113P. Plakushchyi3.00125461
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 22 · 13:30A. Hrabskyi3.5011711113A. Lievshin1.28711881LSep 22 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.2539100I. Hermakivskyi1.571111123WSep 21 · 17:10O. Seliuchenko1.8312830A. Hrabskyi1.831411113LSep 21 · 16:10I. Hermakivskyi1.61118911113A. Hrabskyi2.2051111862WSep 21 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko1.501158101A. Hrabskyi2.5041111123LSep 21 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.301111113A. Hrabskyi3.405650LSep 21 · 10:40I. Fedoryshyn1.83911118113A. Hrabskyi1.8311281132WSep 18 · 17:10A. Yurkov1.831191171A. Hrabskyi1.8313119113WSep 18 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.28111111892A. Hrabskyi3.50913611113LJul 29 · 09:50Y. Leymanovsky1.67111112123A. Hrabskyi2.106914101
Upcoming Matches
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A. Hrabskyi
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