TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykyta Zinov vs Yurii Leymanovsky 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Jul 29Finished
Mykyta Zinov
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
61113111113115711
Yurii Leymanovsky
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:53 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeYurii Leymanovsky to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykyta Zinov above · Yurii Leymanovsky below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 99 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Yurii Leymanovsky at 64.5%
99 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Zinov 1–4 Yurii Leymanovsky Mykyta Zinov has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:53What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Leymanovsky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Leymanovsky
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zinov 1525 vs Leymanovsky 1696
Leymanovsky
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zinov 40% vs Leymanovsky 100%
Leymanovsky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zinov 20% vs Leymanovsky 70%
Leymanovsky
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zinov -2 · Leymanovsky +5
Leymanovsky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Leymanovsky) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Leymanovsky form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZinov 2.63 / Leymanovsky 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Leymanovsky)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12317128
Zinov2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 19 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back7% 3 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Leymanovsky1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 12 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeZinov1wins
AwayLeymanovsky4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderLeymanovsky leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZinovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLeymanovsky100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zinov1Leymanovsky4n = 5Leymanovsky took 4 of 5
S2Zinov3Leymanovsky2n = 5Zinov took 3 of 5
S3Zinov2Leymanovsky3n = 5Leymanovsky took 3 of 5
S4Zinov1Leymanovsky2n = 3Leymanovsky took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricZinovLeymanovskyZ − LBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match34.236.8−2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZinovLeymanovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 307 vs 38 / 6450.8%59.4%156 / 307 vs 38 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeymanovskyZinov 2.63/Leymanovsky 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Leymanovsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Leymanovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 29 · 11:50M. Zinov48613111172Y. Leymanovsky511111135113
LJul 1 · 08:18M. Zinov34711791Y. Leymanovsky3811511113
WJan 28 · 10:50M. Zinov331111113Y. Leymanovsky217590
LOct 29 · 09:20M. Zinov35881181Y. Leymanovsky4111118113
LOct 15 · 05:50M. Zinov217590Y. Leymanovsky331111113
M. Zinov10
LAug 25 · 18:30M. Zinov2.3811119992O. Seliuchenko1.53741111113WAug 25 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi1.80118571M. Zinov1.9171111113LAug 25 · 15:30M. Zinov4.0041211111A. Lievshin1.2211149133LAug 25 · 14:30V. Marushchak1.731111113M. Zinov2.008670WAug 25 · 13:00M. Zinov2.631111123A. Yurkov1.4473100LAug 14 · 17:40M. Zinov4.00117791A. Lievshin1.2231111113LAug 14 · 15:40V. Voronenko1.44114116113M. Zinov2.6341111152WAug 14 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi1.67711931M. Zinov2.1011611113LAug 14 · 12:40M. Zinov2.631061161A. Yurkov1.4412115113WAug 14 · 11:40V. Mishchenko1.57471151M. Zinov2.2511115113
Y. Leymanovsky10
LAug 19 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8091361172V. Chornobab1.911111119113WAug 19 · 10:20Y. Leymanovsky1.73111339153A. Lievshin2.005111111132WAug 19 · 08:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8011912113A. Yurkov1.915111061WAug 19 · 07:20Y. Leymanovsky1.61121197153A. Hrabskyi2.201061111132LAug 19 · 05:50Y. Leymanovsky1.7310980O. Seliuchenko2.001211113WJul 29 · 10:50Y. Leymanovsky1.671411113V. Marushchak2.1012790WJul 29 · 09:50Y. Leymanovsky1.67111112123A. Hrabskyi2.106914101WJul 29 · 08:20Y. Leymanovsky1.571113113V. Mishchenko2.2541130WJul 29 · 06:20Y. Leymanovsky1.731181112143A. Yurkov2.00911214122WJul 22 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.36101111113P. Plakushchyi3.00125461
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