TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Leymanovsky vs Vladyslav Mishchenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Jul 29Finished
Yurii Leymanovsky
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141311113––––
Vladyslav Mishchenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 65.9% is still 65.9%
Graded at full timeYurii Leymanovsky to win
65.9%
65.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Leymanovsky above · Vladyslav Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 53 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Yurii Leymanovsky at 65.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Leymanovsky 1–1 Vladyslav Mishchenko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Leymanovsky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Leymanovsky 1651 vs Mishchenko 1553
Leymanovsky
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leymanovsky 60% vs Mishchenko 0%
Leymanovsky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leymanovsky 60% vs Mishchenko 20%
Leymanovsky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Leymanovsky +2 · Mishchenko -5
Mishchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Leymanovsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeymanovsky 1.57 / Mishchenko 2.25
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Leymanovsky)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12317047
Leymanovsky1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 12 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Mishchenko2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 42 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLeymanovsky1wins
AwayMishchenko1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLeymanovskyMishchenkoL − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.530.0+5.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeymanovskyMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime34 / 60 vs 185 / 39356.7%47.1%34 / 60 vs 185 / 393Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeymanovskyLeymanovsky 1.57/Mishchenko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.9%
Leymanovsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Leymanovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 22 · 10:20Y. Leymanovsky389101271V. Mishchenko44111210113
WJul 8 · 10:20Y. Leymanovsky331111113V. Mishchenko162860
Y. Leymanovsky10
LAug 19 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8091361172V. Chornobab1.911111119113WAug 19 · 10:20Y. Leymanovsky1.73111339153A. Lievshin2.005111111132WAug 19 · 08:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8011912113A. Yurkov1.915111061WAug 19 · 07:20Y. Leymanovsky1.61121197153A. Hrabskyi2.201061111132LAug 19 · 05:50Y. Leymanovsky1.7310980O. Seliuchenko2.001211113WJul 29 · 11:50M. Zinov2.63613111172Y. Leymanovsky1.441111135113WJul 29 · 10:50Y. Leymanovsky1.671411113V. Marushchak2.1012790WJul 29 · 09:50Y. Leymanovsky1.67111112123A. Hrabskyi2.106914101WJul 29 · 06:20Y. Leymanovsky1.731181112143A. Yurkov2.00911214122WJul 22 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.36101111113P. Plakushchyi3.00125461
V. Mishchenko10
LSep 16 · 11:35V. Mishchenko2.1071060A. Hrabskyi1.671112113LSep 16 · 09:35V. Marushchak1.3311811113V. Mishchenko3.25311661LSep 16 · 08:35V. Mishchenko2.25113131152A. Lievshin1.57511159113WSep 16 · 07:35O. Kolbasenko1.331071191V. Mishchenko3.2512119113LSep 16 · 06:05V. Mishchenko2.634660O. Gavryshko1.441111113WSep 9 · 12:20V. Mishchenko2.2081111113A. Hrabskyi1.61117291WSep 9 · 10:20O. Seliuchenko1.5791110101V. Mishchenko2.2511612123LSep 9 · 09:20V. Mishchenko2.108660A. Yurkov1.671111113LSep 9 · 08:20V. Marushchak1.361211123V. Mishchenko3.00108100LSep 9 · 06:50V. Mishchenko1.9112560A. Lievshin1.801411113
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