TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Leymanovsky vs Artem Yurkov 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Jul 29Finished
Yurii Leymanovsky
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11981111212141412
Artem Yurkov
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Leymanovsky above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 104 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 54.0%
104 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Leymanovsky 7–13 Artem Yurkov Yurii Leymanovsky has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:56What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Leymanovsky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-13 in 20
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Leymanovsky 1696 vs Yurkov 1701
Yurkov
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leymanovsky 40% vs Yurkov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leymanovsky 50% vs Yurkov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Leymanovsky +1 · Yurkov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Leymanovsky) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Leymanovsky form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeymanovsky 1.73 / Yurkov 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Leymanovsky)+1.3pp
Setka Cup · #12317143
Leymanovsky1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 17 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it70% 14 of 20
Yurkov2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 32 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back30% 11 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLeymanovsky2wins
AwayYurkov8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderYurkov leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeymanovsky50%2 of 4
AwayYurkov100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leymanovsky4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S2Leymanovsky6Yurkov4n = 10Leymanovsky took 6 of 10
S3Leymanovsky2Yurkov8n = 10Yurkov took 8 of 10
S4Leymanovsky2Yurkov6n = 8Yurkov took 6 of 8
S5Leymanovsky1Yurkov3n = 4Yurkov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLeymanovskyYurkovL − YBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.444.3−2.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeymanovskyYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 64 vs 593 / 97959.4%60.6%38 / 64 vs 593 / 979Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.341.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeymanovskyLeymanovsky 1.73/Yurkov 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55%
Leymanovsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Leymanovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 29 · 06:20Y. Leymanovsky561181112143A. Yurkov48911214122
LJul 22 · 07:20Y. Leymanovsky4611911782A. Yurkov46911411113
LJul 8 · 07:20Y. Leymanovsky2311480A. Yurkov351311113
LJul 1 · 09:19Y. Leymanovsky54111198152A. Yurkov56891111173
LJun 10 · 07:20Y. Leymanovsky351111851A. Yurkov4413911113
WJun 3 · 08:50Y. Leymanovsky51111113163A. Yurkov408315141
LMay 20 · 08:20Y. Leymanovsky173950A. Yurkov331111113
LJan 28 · 07:20Y. Leymanovsky36711991A. Yurkov4211911113
LOct 29 · 07:20Y. Leymanovsky607121611142A. Yurkov591110184163
LAug 27 · 10:20Y. Leymanovsky36811891A. Yurkov4011711113
Y. Leymanovsky10
LAug 19 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8091361172V. Chornobab1.911111119113WAug 19 · 10:20Y. Leymanovsky1.73111339153A. Lievshin2.005111111132WAug 19 · 08:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8011912113A. Yurkov1.915111061WAug 19 · 07:20Y. Leymanovsky1.61121197153A. Hrabskyi2.201061111132LAug 19 · 05:50Y. Leymanovsky1.7310980O. Seliuchenko2.001211113WJul 29 · 11:50M. Zinov2.63613111172Y. Leymanovsky1.441111135113WJul 29 · 10:50Y. Leymanovsky1.671411113V. Marushchak2.1012790WJul 29 · 09:50Y. Leymanovsky1.67111112123A. Hrabskyi2.106914101WJul 29 · 08:20Y. Leymanovsky1.571113113V. Mishchenko2.2541130WJul 22 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.36101111113P. Plakushchyi3.00125461
A. Yurkov10
LSep 22 · 14:00A. Yurkov2.2513114552I. Hermakivskyi1.571191111113WSep 22 · 13:00V. Chornobab2.008860A. Yurkov1.731111113LSep 18 · 17:10A. Yurkov1.831191171A. Hrabskyi1.8313119113LSep 18 · 14:10A. Yurkov2.10131011352A. Lievshin1.671112811113WSep 18 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.67131161352A. Yurkov2.101591111113WSep 18 · 11:40A. Yurkov2.1018811113I. Fedoryshyn1.671611281WSep 15 · 19:00A. Lievshin1.618111261A. Yurkov2.20111310113WSep 15 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.731113113O. Seliuchenko2.0061190WSep 15 · 15:30A. Hrabskyi2.0013149101A. Yurkov1.73111611123LAug 19 · 08:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8011912113A. Yurkov1.915111061
Upcoming Matches
Y. Leymanovsky
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A. Yurkov
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