TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Leymanovsky vs Pavel Plakushchyi 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Jul 22Finished
Yurii Leymanovsky
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012115114116––
Pavel Plakushchyi
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:41 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeYurii Leymanovsky to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Leymanovsky above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 70 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Yurii Leymanovsky at 68.8%
70 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Leymanovsky 1–0 Pavel Plakushchyi Pavel Plakushchyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:41What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Leymanovsky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Leymanovsky 1625 vs Plakushchyi 1651
Plakushchyi
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leymanovsky 40% vs Plakushchyi 60%
Plakushchyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leymanovsky 50% vs Plakushchyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Leymanovsky -1 · Plakushchyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Leymanovsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plakushchyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeymanovsky 1.36 / Plakushchyi 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Leymanovsky)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12278513
Leymanovsky1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 11 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it57% 8 of 14
Plakushchyi3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 93 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLeymanovsky1wins
AwayPlakushchyi0wins
Leymanovsky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLeymanovskyPlakushchyiL − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.019.0+14.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeymanovskyPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 63 vs 318 / 71155.6%44.7%35 / 63 vs 318 / 711Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.535.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeymanovskyLeymanovsky 1.36/Plakushchyi 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Leymanovsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Leymanovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 3 · 10:20Y. Leymanovsky331111113P. Plakushchyi197750
Y. Leymanovsky10
LAug 19 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8091361172V. Chornobab1.911111119113WAug 19 · 10:20Y. Leymanovsky1.73111339153A. Lievshin2.005111111132WAug 19 · 08:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8011912113A. Yurkov1.915111061WAug 19 · 07:20Y. Leymanovsky1.61121197153A. Hrabskyi2.201061111132LAug 19 · 05:50Y. Leymanovsky1.7310980O. Seliuchenko2.001211113WJul 29 · 11:50M. Zinov2.63613111172Y. Leymanovsky1.441111135113WJul 29 · 10:50Y. Leymanovsky1.671411113V. Marushchak2.1012790WJul 29 · 09:50Y. Leymanovsky1.67111112123A. Hrabskyi2.106914101WJul 29 · 08:20Y. Leymanovsky1.571113113V. Mishchenko2.2541130WJul 29 · 06:20Y. Leymanovsky1.731181112143A. Yurkov2.00911214122
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 21 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi7.007780O. Dukhovenko1.081111113LSep 21 · 01:55O. Mishchenko1.9111116113P. Plakushchyi1.80891171WSep 21 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi1.911111143M. Smyrnov1.8074120LSep 20 · 23:55O. Gavryshko1.44116812113P. Plakushchyi2.63311111062WSep 20 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi2.20131110113A. Chepurnyi1.611171271LSep 18 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.40911914113P. Plakushchyi2.75117111282WSep 18 · 18:55O. Mishchenko1.9111681142P. Plakushchyi1.80711119113LSep 18 · 17:25A. Chepurnyi1.571111113P. Plakushchyi2.254380LSep 18 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.3611119113P. Plakushchyi3.00531161LSep 18 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.101111113P. Plakushchyi6.504780
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